Recent forecast model runs from European and global ensembles indicate overnight lows in Milan on August 24 will likely settle near 18–20°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, though variability in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates meaningful spread. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between 22°C-or-higher and sub-13°C outcomes, captures this uncertainty, as some guidance shows modest cooling from a weak Atlantic trough while others maintain warmer, stable conditions typical of late-summer Po Valley climatology. Updated model cycles expected within 24 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria around observed minimums reported by official Italian meteorological networks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 24?
22°C or higher 80%
12°C or below 75%
20°C 36%
21°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
12°C or below
75%
13°C
34%
14°C
34%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
20%
18°C
24%
19°C
20%
20°C
36%
21°C
36%
22°C or higher
80%
22°C or higher 80%
12°C or below 75%
20°C 36%
21°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
12°C or below
$5 Vol.
75%
13°C
$5 Vol.
34%
14°C
$15 Vol.
34%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C
$0 Vol.
19%
17°C
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$0 Vol.
24%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$5 Vol.
36%
21°C
$5 Vol.
36%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from European and global ensembles indicate overnight lows in Milan on August 24 will likely settle near 18–20°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, though variability in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates meaningful spread. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between 22°C-or-higher and sub-13°C outcomes, captures this uncertainty, as some guidance shows modest cooling from a weak Atlantic trough while others maintain warmer, stable conditions typical of late-summer Po Valley climatology. Updated model cycles expected within 24 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria around observed minimums reported by official Italian meteorological networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$40End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from European and global ensembles indicate overnight lows in Milan on August 24 will likely settle near 18–20°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, though variability in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates meaningful spread. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between 22°C-or-higher and sub-13°C outcomes, captures this uncertainty, as some guidance shows modest cooling from a weak Atlantic trough while others maintain warmer, stable conditions typical of late-summer Po Valley climatology. Updated model cycles expected within 24 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria around observed minimums reported by official Italian meteorological networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from European and global ensembles indicate overnight lows in Milan on August 24 will likely settle near 18–20°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, though variability in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates meaningful spread. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between 22°C-or-higher and sub-13°C outcomes, captures this uncertainty, as some guidance shows modest cooling from a weak Atlantic trough while others maintain warmer, stable conditions typical of late-summer Po Valley climatology. Updated model cycles expected within 24 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria around observed minimums reported by official Italian meteorological networks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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