Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime high near 21–22 °C for Munich on 22 August 2026, consistent with late-summer climatology and a post-heatwave cooldown after the 27 °C reading recorded on 17 August. Primary drivers include Atlantic air advection, broken cloud cover limiting insolation, and light south-westerly flow that moderates peak heating. Model consensus across global and regional runs clusters tightly around these values, with minor spread arising from timing of any passing showers and local urban heat-island effects. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes, while lower odds on 20 °C or 23 °C reflect residual uncertainty in the precise afternoon maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 22?
21°C 37%
22°C 27%
20°C 20%
23°C 7%
$11,014 Vol.
$11,014 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
20%
21°C
37%
22°C
27%
23°C
7%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 37%
22°C 27%
20°C 20%
23°C 7%
$11,014 Vol.
$11,014 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
20%
21°C
37%
22°C
27%
23°C
7%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime high near 21–22 °C for Munich on 22 August 2026, consistent with late-summer climatology and a post-heatwave cooldown after the 27 °C reading recorded on 17 August. Primary drivers include Atlantic air advection, broken cloud cover limiting insolation, and light south-westerly flow that moderates peak heating. Model consensus across global and regional runs clusters tightly around these values, with minor spread arising from timing of any passing showers and local urban heat-island effects. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes, while lower odds on 20 °C or 23 °C reflect residual uncertainty in the precise afternoon maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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