Recent forecast model runs indicate clearing skies and light winds overnight into August 22, supporting radiative cooling that favors minimum temperatures in the 14–17°C range across Milan. Post-storm high pressure and dew points near 15–18°C limit further drops, while the Po Valley's topography and urban heat island effects moderate extremes. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with ECMWF and ICON runs clustering around 16–17°C lows versus slightly cooler GFS solutions near 14–15°C, keeping market-implied odds tightly bunched. Updated NWP outputs and local observations through the evening will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 22?
15°C 31%
16°C 29%
14°C 28%
17°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
20%
13°C
26%
14°C
28%
15°C
31%
16°C
29%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
7%
20°C or higher
2%
15°C 31%
16°C 29%
14°C 28%
17°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
10°C or below
$73 Vol.
1%
11°C
$88 Vol.
1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
20%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
28%
15°C
$0 Vol.
31%
16°C
$0 Vol.
29%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$143 Vol.
7%
20°C or higher
$34 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs indicate clearing skies and light winds overnight into August 22, supporting radiative cooling that favors minimum temperatures in the 14–17°C range across Milan. Post-storm high pressure and dew points near 15–18°C limit further drops, while the Po Valley's topography and urban heat island effects moderate extremes. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with ECMWF and ICON runs clustering around 16–17°C lows versus slightly cooler GFS solutions near 14–15°C, keeping market-implied odds tightly bunched. Updated NWP outputs and local observations through the evening will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$339End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs indicate clearing skies and light winds overnight into August 22, supporting radiative cooling that favors minimum temperatures in the 14–17°C range across Milan. Post-storm high pressure and dew points near 15–18°C limit further drops, while the Po Valley's topography and urban heat island effects moderate extremes. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with ECMWF and ICON runs clustering around 16–17°C lows versus slightly cooler GFS solutions near 14–15°C, keeping market-implied odds tightly bunched. Updated NWP outputs and local observations through the evening will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$339End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs indicate clearing skies and light winds overnight into August 22, supporting radiative cooling that favors minimum temperatures in the 14–17°C range across Milan. Post-storm high pressure and dew points near 15–18°C limit further drops, while the Po Valley's topography and urban heat island effects moderate extremes. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with ECMWF and ICON runs clustering around 16–17°C lows versus slightly cooler GFS solutions near 14–15°C, keeping market-implied odds tightly bunched. Updated NWP outputs and local observations through the evening will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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