Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts position 92–93°F as the leading outcome for Miami’s August 22 high, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with daytime heating tempered by Atlantic sea breezes and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Model consensus shows surface temperatures peaking near 91–93°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological August averages near 89°F but elevated by ongoing regional heat. Trader sentiment favors this narrow band over 94–95°F because no strong high-pressure ridge or suppressed convection is expected to push extremes higher, while lower bins like 90–91°F carry less weight given the current warmth and minimal cooling signals. Updated guidance on Friday or Saturday could refine probabilities ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 22?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 22?
92-93°F 56%
94-95°F 29%
90-91°F 16%
98-99°F 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
2%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 56%
94-95°F 29%
90-91°F 16%
98-99°F 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
81°F or below
$117 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$117 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$250 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$194 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$192 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$498 Vol.
16%
92-93°F
$610 Vol.
56%
94-95°F
$273 Vol.
29%
96-97°F
$75 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$5 Vol.
2%
100°F or higher
$274 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts position 92–93°F as the leading outcome for Miami’s August 22 high, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with daytime heating tempered by Atlantic sea breezes and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Model consensus shows surface temperatures peaking near 91–93°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological August averages near 89°F but elevated by ongoing regional heat. Trader sentiment favors this narrow band over 94–95°F because no strong high-pressure ridge or suppressed convection is expected to push extremes higher, while lower bins like 90–91°F carry less weight given the current warmth and minimal cooling signals. Updated guidance on Friday or Saturday could refine probabilities ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,606End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts position 92–93°F as the leading outcome for Miami’s August 22 high, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with daytime heating tempered by Atlantic sea breezes and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Model consensus shows surface temperatures peaking near 91–93°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological August averages near 89°F but elevated by ongoing regional heat. Trader sentiment favors this narrow band over 94–95°F because no strong high-pressure ridge or suppressed convection is expected to push extremes higher, while lower bins like 90–91°F carry less weight given the current warmth and minimal cooling signals. Updated guidance on Friday or Saturday could refine probabilities ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,606End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts position 92–93°F as the leading outcome for Miami’s August 22 high, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with daytime heating tempered by Atlantic sea breezes and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Model consensus shows surface temperatures peaking near 91–93°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological August averages near 89°F but elevated by ongoing regional heat. Trader sentiment favors this narrow band over 94–95°F because no strong high-pressure ridge or suppressed convection is expected to push extremes higher, while lower bins like 90–91°F carry less weight given the current warmth and minimal cooling signals. Updated guidance on Friday or Saturday could refine probabilities ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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