Current forecasts for Cape Town on August 24, 2026, indicate a minimum near 12°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with typical August climatology influenced by the Benguela Current and passing cold fronts. Trader sentiment remains split because small shifts in overnight radiative cooling, cloud cover, or a late frontal passage can easily swing the low by 2–4°C. Stronger westerlies or clearer conditions would favor the 7°C-or-below outcome, while Atlantic moderation or increased humidity supports the 17°C-or-higher tail. Model consensus and any final NHC-equivalent updates over the next 48 hours will likely resolve this narrow range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
7°C or below 79%
17°C or higher 56%
11°C 37%
15°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
79%
8°C
19%
9°C
20%
10°C
20%
11°C
28%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
2%
15°C
36%
16°C
21%
17°C or higher
56%
7°C or below 79%
17°C or higher 56%
11°C 37%
15°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
$5 Vol.
79%
8°C
$0 Vol.
19%
9°C
$0 Vol.
20%
10°C
$0 Vol.
20%
11°C
$5 Vol.
28%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$5 Vol.
2%
15°C
$5 Vol.
36%
16°C
$5 Vol.
21%
17°C or higher
$5 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Cape Town on August 24, 2026, indicate a minimum near 12°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with typical August climatology influenced by the Benguela Current and passing cold fronts. Trader sentiment remains split because small shifts in overnight radiative cooling, cloud cover, or a late frontal passage can easily swing the low by 2–4°C. Stronger westerlies or clearer conditions would favor the 7°C-or-below outcome, while Atlantic moderation or increased humidity supports the 17°C-or-higher tail. Model consensus and any final NHC-equivalent updates over the next 48 hours will likely resolve this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ET
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Cape Town on August 24, 2026, indicate a minimum near 12°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with typical August climatology influenced by the Benguela Current and passing cold fronts. Trader sentiment remains split because small shifts in overnight radiative cooling, cloud cover, or a late frontal passage can easily swing the low by 2–4°C. Stronger westerlies or clearer conditions would favor the 7°C-or-below outcome, while Atlantic moderation or increased humidity supports the 17°C-or-higher tail. Model consensus and any final NHC-equivalent updates over the next 48 hours will likely resolve this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Cape Town on August 24, 2026, indicate a minimum near 12°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with typical August climatology influenced by the Benguela Current and passing cold fronts. Trader sentiment remains split because small shifts in overnight radiative cooling, cloud cover, or a late frontal passage can easily swing the low by 2–4°C. Stronger westerlies or clearer conditions would favor the 7°C-or-below outcome, while Atlantic moderation or increased humidity supports the 17°C-or-higher tail. Model consensus and any final NHC-equivalent updates over the next 48 hours will likely resolve this narrow range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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