Recent cooling after an early-week heatwave in the Paris region has shifted overnight lows downward, with forecasts from sources like Météo-France and AccuWeather pointing to minimum temperatures near 14–15°C on August 24 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Radiational cooling under clearer intervals could push readings to 13°C or lower, while increased cloud cover or light winds would favor the 15–16°C range by limiting heat loss. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 14–15°C, providing context for the market's tight clustering between 13°C and 16°C, though short-term model runs retain uncertainty around precipitation timing and exact steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh these variables against the narrow resolution window tied to official measurements at Paris-Le Bourget.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 24?
14°C 35%
15°C 25%
13°C 22%
16°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
11°C or below
7%
12°C
10%
13°C
22%
14°C
35%
15°C
25%
16°C
11%
17°C
5%
18°C
4%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
14°C 35%
15°C 25%
13°C 22%
16°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
11°C or below
$15 Vol.
7%
12°C
$6 Vol.
10%
13°C
$111 Vol.
22%
14°C
$1,444 Vol.
35%
15°C
$42 Vol.
25%
16°C
$22 Vol.
11%
17°C
$11 Vol.
5%
18°C
$11 Vol.
4%
19°C
$5 Vol.
5%
20°C
$5 Vol.
2%
21°C or higher
$16 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after an early-week heatwave in the Paris region has shifted overnight lows downward, with forecasts from sources like Météo-France and AccuWeather pointing to minimum temperatures near 14–15°C on August 24 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Radiational cooling under clearer intervals could push readings to 13°C or lower, while increased cloud cover or light winds would favor the 15–16°C range by limiting heat loss. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 14–15°C, providing context for the market's tight clustering between 13°C and 16°C, though short-term model runs retain uncertainty around precipitation timing and exact steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh these variables against the narrow resolution window tied to official measurements at Paris-Le Bourget.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,688End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after an early-week heatwave in the Paris region has shifted overnight lows downward, with forecasts from sources like Météo-France and AccuWeather pointing to minimum temperatures near 14–15°C on August 24 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Radiational cooling under clearer intervals could push readings to 13°C or lower, while increased cloud cover or light winds would favor the 15–16°C range by limiting heat loss. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 14–15°C, providing context for the market's tight clustering between 13°C and 16°C, though short-term model runs retain uncertainty around precipitation timing and exact steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh these variables against the narrow resolution window tied to official measurements at Paris-Le Bourget.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,688End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling after an early-week heatwave in the Paris region has shifted overnight lows downward, with forecasts from sources like Météo-France and AccuWeather pointing to minimum temperatures near 14–15°C on August 24 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Radiational cooling under clearer intervals could push readings to 13°C or lower, while increased cloud cover or light winds would favor the 15–16°C range by limiting heat loss. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 14–15°C, providing context for the market's tight clustering between 13°C and 16°C, though short-term model runs retain uncertainty around precipitation timing and exact steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh these variables against the narrow resolution window tied to official measurements at Paris-Le Bourget.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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