Monsoon conditions over northern India currently drive trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 24 minimum temperature, with closely matched odds around 26–28°C reflecting model uncertainty in short-range forecasts. Persistent moisture from the Bay of Bengal, variable cloud cover, and potential light rainfall episodes limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minimums near seasonal averages of 25–27°C. The India Meteorological Department’s latest guidance highlights steering patterns and humidity levels that could shift outcomes by 1–2°C depending on exact timing of any convective activity. Traders weigh ensemble model spreads from global and regional systems, noting how urban heat effects and wind shifts near the Ganges plain add further variability ahead of the next IMD update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 24?
21°C or below 55%
31°C or higher 55%
29°C 46%
23°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
55%
22°C
39%
23°C
45%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
34%
27°C
37%
28°C
28%
29°C
46%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
55%
21°C or below 55%
31°C or higher 55%
29°C 46%
23°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
55%
22°C
$5 Vol.
39%
23°C
$25 Vol.
45%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
37%
28°C
$0 Vol.
28%
29°C
$5 Vol.
46%
30°C
$5 Vol.
8%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon conditions over northern India currently drive trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 24 minimum temperature, with closely matched odds around 26–28°C reflecting model uncertainty in short-range forecasts. Persistent moisture from the Bay of Bengal, variable cloud cover, and potential light rainfall episodes limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minimums near seasonal averages of 25–27°C. The India Meteorological Department’s latest guidance highlights steering patterns and humidity levels that could shift outcomes by 1–2°C depending on exact timing of any convective activity. Traders weigh ensemble model spreads from global and regional systems, noting how urban heat effects and wind shifts near the Ganges plain add further variability ahead of the next IMD update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Volume
$50End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon conditions over northern India currently drive trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 24 minimum temperature, with closely matched odds around 26–28°C reflecting model uncertainty in short-range forecasts. Persistent moisture from the Bay of Bengal, variable cloud cover, and potential light rainfall episodes limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minimums near seasonal averages of 25–27°C. The India Meteorological Department’s latest guidance highlights steering patterns and humidity levels that could shift outcomes by 1–2°C depending on exact timing of any convective activity. Traders weigh ensemble model spreads from global and regional systems, noting how urban heat effects and wind shifts near the Ganges plain add further variability ahead of the next IMD update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Monsoon conditions over northern India currently drive trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 24 minimum temperature, with closely matched odds around 26–28°C reflecting model uncertainty in short-range forecasts. Persistent moisture from the Bay of Bengal, variable cloud cover, and potential light rainfall episodes limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minimums near seasonal averages of 25–27°C. The India Meteorological Department’s latest guidance highlights steering patterns and humidity levels that could shift outcomes by 1–2°C depending on exact timing of any convective activity. Traders weigh ensemble model spreads from global and regional systems, noting how urban heat effects and wind shifts near the Ganges plain add further variability ahead of the next IMD update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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