Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul with clear skies and northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h through August 24, supporting overnight lows near 22–23°C as limited cloud cover allows moderate radiative cooling under dew points around 20°C. This aligns with late-August climatology where typical minima range 20–21°C, though persistent dry advection has kept recent nights slightly warmer than average. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on the central range while pricing in uncertainty from local urban heat effects, wind-driven mixing, or minor forecast shifts, with the spread across 18–28°C outcomes underscoring sensitivity to final observational data from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
28°C or higher 77%
18°C or below 58%
19°C 37%
21°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
58%
19°C
37%
20°C
20%
21°C
28%
22°C
28%
23°C
29%
24°C
20%
25°C
37%
26°C
2%
27°C
37%
28°C or higher
77%
28°C or higher 77%
18°C or below 58%
19°C 37%
21°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
58%
19°C
$5 Vol.
37%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$5 Vol.
28%
22°C
$5 Vol.
28%
23°C
$5 Vol.
29%
24°C
$0 Vol.
20%
25°C
$5 Vol.
37%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5 Vol.
37%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul with clear skies and northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h through August 24, supporting overnight lows near 22–23°C as limited cloud cover allows moderate radiative cooling under dew points around 20°C. This aligns with late-August climatology where typical minima range 20–21°C, though persistent dry advection has kept recent nights slightly warmer than average. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on the central range while pricing in uncertainty from local urban heat effects, wind-driven mixing, or minor forecast shifts, with the spread across 18–28°C outcomes underscoring sensitivity to final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$45End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul with clear skies and northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h through August 24, supporting overnight lows near 22–23°C as limited cloud cover allows moderate radiative cooling under dew points around 20°C. This aligns with late-August climatology where typical minima range 20–21°C, though persistent dry advection has kept recent nights slightly warmer than average. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on the central range while pricing in uncertainty from local urban heat effects, wind-driven mixing, or minor forecast shifts, with the spread across 18–28°C outcomes underscoring sensitivity to final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul with clear skies and northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h through August 24, supporting overnight lows near 22–23°C as limited cloud cover allows moderate radiative cooling under dew points around 20°C. This aligns with late-August climatology where typical minima range 20–21°C, though persistent dry advection has kept recent nights slightly warmer than average. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on the central range while pricing in uncertainty from local urban heat effects, wind-driven mixing, or minor forecast shifts, with the spread across 18–28°C outcomes underscoring sensitivity to final observational data from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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