Seasonal winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere keep Cape Town's typical August daily maxima near 17–19°C, with current forecast models from the South African Weather Service and international sources converging on a 16–18°C peak for August 22 under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and minimal drizzle risk. This consensus aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 18°C (42.5%), 19°C (23.5%), and 17°C (21.5%), reflecting trader weighting of climatological baselines and limited short-term warming signals from recent cold-front passages. Higher probabilities for 20°C+ remain low absent significant model shifts before resolution, while cooler outliers below 16°C carry reduced odds given the narrow expected range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 22?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 22?
18°C 43%
19°C 24%
17°C 22%
16°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
22%
18°C
43%
19°C
24%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 43%
19°C 24%
17°C 22%
16°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
12°C or below
$324 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$324 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$80 Vol.
1%
15°C
$157 Vol.
2%
16°C
$256 Vol.
4%
17°C
$285 Vol.
22%
18°C
$495 Vol.
43%
19°C
$638 Vol.
24%
20°C
$354 Vol.
3%
21°C
$101 Vol.
3%
22°C or higher
$37 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere keep Cape Town's typical August daily maxima near 17–19°C, with current forecast models from the South African Weather Service and international sources converging on a 16–18°C peak for August 22 under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and minimal drizzle risk. This consensus aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 18°C (42.5%), 19°C (23.5%), and 17°C (21.5%), reflecting trader weighting of climatological baselines and limited short-term warming signals from recent cold-front passages. Higher probabilities for 20°C+ remain low absent significant model shifts before resolution, while cooler outliers below 16°C carry reduced odds given the narrow expected range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,051End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere keep Cape Town's typical August daily maxima near 17–19°C, with current forecast models from the South African Weather Service and international sources converging on a 16–18°C peak for August 22 under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and minimal drizzle risk. This consensus aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 18°C (42.5%), 19°C (23.5%), and 17°C (21.5%), reflecting trader weighting of climatological baselines and limited short-term warming signals from recent cold-front passages. Higher probabilities for 20°C+ remain low absent significant model shifts before resolution, while cooler outliers below 16°C carry reduced odds given the narrow expected range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,051End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seasonal winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere keep Cape Town's typical August daily maxima near 17–19°C, with current forecast models from the South African Weather Service and international sources converging on a 16–18°C peak for August 22 under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and minimal drizzle risk. This consensus aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 18°C (42.5%), 19°C (23.5%), and 17°C (21.5%), reflecting trader weighting of climatological baselines and limited short-term warming signals from recent cold-front passages. Higher probabilities for 20°C+ remain low absent significant model shifts before resolution, while cooler outliers below 16°C carry reduced odds given the narrow expected range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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