Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 24 around 11–14°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light easterly winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where radiative cooling and modest continental advection typically produce minima near 12–13°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between the 16°C-or-higher and 6°C-or-below outcomes at roughly 40% each, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and potential model divergence in the final 48-hour runs rather than any observed trend toward extremes. Historical August records show occasional dips below 10°C or brief warm nights above 15°C, yet current high-pressure dominance and dew-point trends favor the central range. Updated ECMWF and GFS guidance ahead of resolution will clarify whether subtle steering changes or cloud cover alter the minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
16°C or higher 82%
6°C or below 80%
7°C 20%
8°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
80%
7°C
20%
8°C
20%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
20%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C or higher
82%
16°C or higher 82%
6°C or below 80%
7°C 20%
8°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
$5 Vol.
80%
7°C
$5 Vol.
20%
8°C
$5 Vol.
20%
9°C
$0 Vol.
19%
10°C
$0 Vol.
19%
11°C
$0 Vol.
20%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$25 Vol.
19%
15°C
$5 Vol.
19%
16°C or higher
$5 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 24 around 11–14°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light easterly winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where radiative cooling and modest continental advection typically produce minima near 12–13°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between the 16°C-or-higher and 6°C-or-below outcomes at roughly 40% each, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and potential model divergence in the final 48-hour runs rather than any observed trend toward extremes. Historical August records show occasional dips below 10°C or brief warm nights above 15°C, yet current high-pressure dominance and dew-point trends favor the central range. Updated ECMWF and GFS guidance ahead of resolution will clarify whether subtle steering changes or cloud cover alter the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$50End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 24 around 11–14°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light easterly winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where radiative cooling and modest continental advection typically produce minima near 12–13°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between the 16°C-or-higher and 6°C-or-below outcomes at roughly 40% each, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and potential model divergence in the final 48-hour runs rather than any observed trend toward extremes. Historical August records show occasional dips below 10°C or brief warm nights above 15°C, yet current high-pressure dominance and dew-point trends favor the central range. Updated ECMWF and GFS guidance ahead of resolution will clarify whether subtle steering changes or cloud cover alter the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 24 around 11–14°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light easterly winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where radiative cooling and modest continental advection typically produce minima near 12–13°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between the 16°C-or-higher and 6°C-or-below outcomes at roughly 40% each, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and potential model divergence in the final 48-hour runs rather than any observed trend toward extremes. Historical August records show occasional dips below 10°C or brief warm nights above 15°C, yet current high-pressure dominance and dew-point trends favor the central range. Updated ECMWF and GFS guidance ahead of resolution will clarify whether subtle steering changes or cloud cover alter the minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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