Skip to main content

Aug 14, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?

Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?

100%
88%
2
icon for Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?

Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?

99%
85%
3
icon for Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?

Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?

98%
74%
4
icon for Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?

13%
69%
5
icon for Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

100%
63%
6
icon for Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?

Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?

78%
57%
7
icon for Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?

Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?

51%
46%
8
icon for Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

82%
34%
9
icon for Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?

65%
27%
10
icon for Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

80%
23%
11
icon for Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?

Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?

70%
23%
12
icon for No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

74%
21%
13
icon for Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?

Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?

68%
21%
14
icon for Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?

75%
21%
15
icon for Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?

Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?

55%
18%
16
icon for Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?

92%
17%
17
icon for Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

71%
15%
18
icon for Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

69%
15%
19
icon for Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?

Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?

0%
12%
20
icon for Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

18%
10%
21
icon for Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?

Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?

100%
10%
22
icon for US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?

23%
10%
23
icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

69%
10%
24
icon for Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?

Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?

77%
10%
25
icon for Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?

Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?

17%
9%