Aug 14, 2026
Breaking News
See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours
1


Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?
100%
88%
2

Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?
99%
85%
3

Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?
98%
74%
4


Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
13%
69%
5

Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
100%
63%
6


Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
78%
57%
7


Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
51%
46%
8


Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
82%
34%
9

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
65%
27%
10

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
80%
23%
11

Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?
70%
23%
12

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
74%
21%
13


Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
68%
21%
14

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?
75%
21%
15

Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?
55%
18%
16

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
92%
17%
17


Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
71%
15%
18

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
69%
15%
19

Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?
0%
12%
20

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
18%
10%
21

Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
100%
10%
22

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
23%
10%
23

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
69%
10%
24

Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
77%
10%
25

Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
17%
9%





