Recent short-range model guidance from sources like the ECMWF and GFS shows overnight lows for Munich on August 24 centered near 9–14°C, with trader sentiment split between cooler radiative cooling scenarios and milder conditions. Clear skies and light winds favor stronger surface cooling after sunset, potentially driving minimums toward single digits, while increased cloud cover or a warmer air mass could limit drops above 15°C. Late-August climatology places typical minima around 12–13°C, but current ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to evolving high-pressure patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 24?
6°C or below 85%
16°C or higher 79%
14°C 42%
7°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
85%
7°C
28%
8°C
28%
9°C
27%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
24%
13°C
22%
14°C
42%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
79%
6°C or below 85%
16°C or higher 79%
14°C 42%
7°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
$5 Vol.
85%
7°C
$0 Vol.
28%
8°C
$0 Vol.
28%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
24%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$15 Vol.
42%
15°C
$5 Vol.
1%
16°C or higher
$5 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources like the ECMWF and GFS shows overnight lows for Munich on August 24 centered near 9–14°C, with trader sentiment split between cooler radiative cooling scenarios and milder conditions. Clear skies and light winds favor stronger surface cooling after sunset, potentially driving minimums toward single digits, while increased cloud cover or a warmer air mass could limit drops above 15°C. Late-August climatology places typical minima around 12–13°C, but current ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to evolving high-pressure patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources like the ECMWF and GFS shows overnight lows for Munich on August 24 centered near 9–14°C, with trader sentiment split between cooler radiative cooling scenarios and milder conditions. Clear skies and light winds favor stronger surface cooling after sunset, potentially driving minimums toward single digits, while increased cloud cover or a warmer air mass could limit drops above 15°C. Late-August climatology places typical minima around 12–13°C, but current ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to evolving high-pressure patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model guidance from sources like the ECMWF and GFS shows overnight lows for Munich on August 24 centered near 9–14°C, with trader sentiment split between cooler radiative cooling scenarios and milder conditions. Clear skies and light winds favor stronger surface cooling after sunset, potentially driving minimums toward single digits, while increased cloud cover or a warmer air mass could limit drops above 15°C. Late-August climatology places typical minima around 12–13°C, but current ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to evolving high-pressure patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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