Recent forecasts from major models align on a stable subtropical ridge maintaining clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Jeddah, supporting daily maxima near 37–38°C on August 24 amid typical Red Sea humidity levels around 50–60%. This places the market’s leading 38°C (34%) and 37°C (28.5%) outcomes in close contention, with differentiation hinging on precise timing of peak insolation, minor cloud variations, and local measurement thresholds rather than broader synoptic shifts. Historical August climatology shows averages near 37–39°C, while current guidance indicates little deviation through the weekend, leaving traders sensitive to the next GFS or ECMWF runs for any subtle adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or sea-breeze effects.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 24?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 24?
38°C 35%
37°C 29%
39°C 18%
36°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
8%
36°C
10%
37°C
29%
38°C
35%
39°C
18%
40°C or higher
5%
38°C 35%
37°C 29%
39°C 18%
36°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
30°C or below
$3 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$11 Vol.
1%
34°C
$7 Vol.
1%
35°C
$0 Vol.
8%
36°C
$10 Vol.
10%
37°C
$34 Vol.
29%
38°C
$121 Vol.
35%
39°C
$78 Vol.
18%
40°C or higher
$137 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models align on a stable subtropical ridge maintaining clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Jeddah, supporting daily maxima near 37–38°C on August 24 amid typical Red Sea humidity levels around 50–60%. This places the market’s leading 38°C (34%) and 37°C (28.5%) outcomes in close contention, with differentiation hinging on precise timing of peak insolation, minor cloud variations, and local measurement thresholds rather than broader synoptic shifts. Historical August climatology shows averages near 37–39°C, while current guidance indicates little deviation through the weekend, leaving traders sensitive to the next GFS or ECMWF runs for any subtle adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or sea-breeze effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$407End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models align on a stable subtropical ridge maintaining clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Jeddah, supporting daily maxima near 37–38°C on August 24 amid typical Red Sea humidity levels around 50–60%. This places the market’s leading 38°C (34%) and 37°C (28.5%) outcomes in close contention, with differentiation hinging on precise timing of peak insolation, minor cloud variations, and local measurement thresholds rather than broader synoptic shifts. Historical August climatology shows averages near 37–39°C, while current guidance indicates little deviation through the weekend, leaving traders sensitive to the next GFS or ECMWF runs for any subtle adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or sea-breeze effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$407End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models align on a stable subtropical ridge maintaining clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Jeddah, supporting daily maxima near 37–38°C on August 24 amid typical Red Sea humidity levels around 50–60%. This places the market’s leading 38°C (34%) and 37°C (28.5%) outcomes in close contention, with differentiation hinging on precise timing of peak insolation, minor cloud variations, and local measurement thresholds rather than broader synoptic shifts. Historical August climatology shows averages near 37–39°C, while current guidance indicates little deviation through the weekend, leaving traders sensitive to the next GFS or ECMWF runs for any subtle adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or sea-breeze effects.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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