Recent model consensus for Jeddah points to overnight lows near 29–30°C on August 24 under typical late-summer conditions, with high dew points near 25°C and light northwest winds limiting radiative cooling. Coastal Red Sea influence and persistent humidity suppress larger diurnal drops, while variable cloud cover or brief sea-breeze shifts could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C in either direction. This narrow expected range around historical August averages explains the near-even market split between the 33°C+ and 23°C-or-below outcomes, highlighting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on August 24?
33°C or higher 86%
23°C or below 84%
31°C 37%
27°C 36%
23°C or below
84%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
36%
28°C
19%
29°C
19%
30°C
21%
31°C
28%
32°C
19%
33°C or higher
86%
33°C or higher 86%
23°C or below 84%
31°C 37%
27°C 36%
23°C or below
84%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
36%
28°C
19%
29°C
19%
30°C
21%
31°C
28%
32°C
19%
33°C or higher
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus for Jeddah points to overnight lows near 29–30°C on August 24 under typical late-summer conditions, with high dew points near 25°C and light northwest winds limiting radiative cooling. Coastal Red Sea influence and persistent humidity suppress larger diurnal drops, while variable cloud cover or brief sea-breeze shifts could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C in either direction. This narrow expected range around historical August averages explains the near-even market split between the 33°C+ and 23°C-or-below outcomes, highlighting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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