**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and enhanced southwesterly monsoon flow tied to a nearby tropical depression (TD22) are the main drivers keeping Taipei’s maximum temperatures tightly clustered near 29–31 °C on August 24.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance consistently forecasts daytime highs of 26–32 °C under mostly cloudy skies with brief thunderstorms, while international models (WeatherBug, ensemble guidance) converge on 28–29 °C. These conditions limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling, with only modest model spread arising from differences in convective timing and exact wind direction. Historical August averages hover near 32 °C, so the current setup represents a measurable suppression; fresh model runs and CWA updates over the next 24–48 hours will refine whether any clearing allows a brief spike toward 32 °C or further rain holds readings at 29 °C or below. Trader sentiment therefore reflects high uncertainty around the precise peak within this narrow, rain-influenced window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
30°C 25%
29°C 22%
31°C 21%
32°C or higher 17%
NEW
$33,932 Vol.
NEW
$33,932 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
15%
29°C
22%
30°C
25%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
17%
30°C 25%
29°C 22%
31°C 21%
32°C or higher 17%
NEW
$33,932 Vol.
NEW
$33,932 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$9,889 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,769 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,501 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,346 Vol.
1%
26°C
$600 Vol.
2%
27°C
$687 Vol.
5%
28°C
$1,972 Vol.
15%
29°C
$1,112 Vol.
22%
30°C
$10,557 Vol.
25%
31°C
$2,504 Vol.
21%
32°C or higher
$1,994 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and enhanced southwesterly monsoon flow tied to a nearby tropical depression (TD22) are the main drivers keeping Taipei’s maximum temperatures tightly clustered near 29–31 °C on August 24.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance consistently forecasts daytime highs of 26–32 °C under mostly cloudy skies with brief thunderstorms, while international models (WeatherBug, ensemble guidance) converge on 28–29 °C. These conditions limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling, with only modest model spread arising from differences in convective timing and exact wind direction. Historical August averages hover near 32 °C, so the current setup represents a measurable suppression; fresh model runs and CWA updates over the next 24–48 hours will refine whether any clearing allows a brief spike toward 32 °C or further rain holds readings at 29 °C or below. Trader sentiment therefore reflects high uncertainty around the precise peak within this narrow, rain-influenced window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$33,932End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and enhanced southwesterly monsoon flow tied to a nearby tropical depression (TD22) are the main drivers keeping Taipei’s maximum temperatures tightly clustered near 29–31 °C on August 24.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance consistently forecasts daytime highs of 26–32 °C under mostly cloudy skies with brief thunderstorms, while international models (WeatherBug, ensemble guidance) converge on 28–29 °C. These conditions limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling, with only modest model spread arising from differences in convective timing and exact wind direction. Historical August averages hover near 32 °C, so the current setup represents a measurable suppression; fresh model runs and CWA updates over the next 24–48 hours will refine whether any clearing allows a brief spike toward 32 °C or further rain holds readings at 29 °C or below. Trader sentiment therefore reflects high uncertainty around the precise peak within this narrow, rain-influenced window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,932End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and enhanced southwesterly monsoon flow tied to a nearby tropical depression (TD22) are the main drivers keeping Taipei’s maximum temperatures tightly clustered near 29–31 °C on August 24.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance consistently forecasts daytime highs of 26–32 °C under mostly cloudy skies with brief thunderstorms, while international models (WeatherBug, ensemble guidance) converge on 28–29 °C. These conditions limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling, with only modest model spread arising from differences in convective timing and exact wind direction. Historical August averages hover near 32 °C, so the current setup represents a measurable suppression; fresh model runs and CWA updates over the next 24–48 hours will refine whether any clearing allows a brief spike toward 32 °C or further rain holds readings at 29 °C or below. Trader sentiment therefore reflects high uncertainty around the precise peak within this narrow, rain-influenced window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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