Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall between 17–19°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the tight market clustering around 17°C or below and 18°C. Radiative cooling overnight in the region's continental climate, with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, favors the lower end of that range, while daytime heating and any subtle warm-air advection could push readings slightly higher. Ensemble consistency and the absence of incoming fronts or moisture keep probabilities balanced near 45% and 42.5%, respectively, with traders weighing small model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds ahead of final updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 24?
27°C or higher 51%
21°C 47%
26°C 45%
17°C or below 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
45%
18°C
42%
19°C
24%
20°C
40%
21°C
47%
22°C
9%
23°C
39%
24°C
8%
25°C
38%
26°C
45%
27°C or higher
51%
27°C or higher 51%
21°C 47%
26°C 45%
17°C or below 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
45%
18°C
$0 Vol.
42%
19°C
$0 Vol.
24%
20°C
$44 Vol.
40%
21°C
$5 Vol.
47%
22°C
$5 Vol.
9%
23°C
$5 Vol.
39%
24°C
$5 Vol.
8%
25°C
$5 Vol.
38%
26°C
$5 Vol.
45%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall between 17–19°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the tight market clustering around 17°C or below and 18°C. Radiative cooling overnight in the region's continental climate, with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, favors the lower end of that range, while daytime heating and any subtle warm-air advection could push readings slightly higher. Ensemble consistency and the absence of incoming fronts or moisture keep probabilities balanced near 45% and 42.5%, respectively, with traders weighing small model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds ahead of final updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Volume
$79End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall between 17–19°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the tight market clustering around 17°C or below and 18°C. Radiative cooling overnight in the region's continental climate, with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, favors the lower end of that range, while daytime heating and any subtle warm-air advection could push readings slightly higher. Ensemble consistency and the absence of incoming fronts or moisture keep probabilities balanced near 45% and 42.5%, respectively, with traders weighing small model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds ahead of final updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$79End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall between 17–19°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the tight market clustering around 17°C or below and 18°C. Radiative cooling overnight in the region's continental climate, with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, favors the lower end of that range, while daytime heating and any subtle warm-air advection could push readings slightly higher. Ensemble consistency and the absence of incoming fronts or moisture keep probabilities balanced near 45% and 42.5%, respectively, with traders weighing small model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds ahead of final updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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