Recent forecast models for Warsaw show notable spread in minimum temperatures for August 24, with official guidance from sources like the Met Office and BBC pointing to overnight lows near 11–12°C amid variable cloud cover and light winds. This uncertainty stems from evolving high-pressure influences and potential frontal passages that could either enhance radiative cooling for readings in the single digits or maintain milder conditions above 15°C. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 12–14°C, making the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes reflect trader weighting of ensemble model divergence ahead of updated runs expected within 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 24?
7°C or below 82%
17°C or higher 81%
11°C 37%
10°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
82%
8°C
11%
9°C
15%
10°C
20%
11°C
28%
12°C
20%
13°C
13%
14°C
11%
15°C
19%
16°C
14%
17°C or higher
81%
7°C or below 82%
17°C or higher 81%
11°C 37%
10°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
$5 Vol.
82%
8°C
$0 Vol.
11%
9°C
$0 Vol.
15%
10°C
$4 Vol.
20%
11°C
$5 Vol.
28%
12°C
$0 Vol.
20%
13°C
$0 Vol.
13%
14°C
$4 Vol.
11%
15°C
$5 Vol.
19%
16°C
$5 Vol.
14%
17°C or higher
$5 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Warsaw show notable spread in minimum temperatures for August 24, with official guidance from sources like the Met Office and BBC pointing to overnight lows near 11–12°C amid variable cloud cover and light winds. This uncertainty stems from evolving high-pressure influences and potential frontal passages that could either enhance radiative cooling for readings in the single digits or maintain milder conditions above 15°C. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 12–14°C, making the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes reflect trader weighting of ensemble model divergence ahead of updated runs expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$33End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Warsaw show notable spread in minimum temperatures for August 24, with official guidance from sources like the Met Office and BBC pointing to overnight lows near 11–12°C amid variable cloud cover and light winds. This uncertainty stems from evolving high-pressure influences and potential frontal passages that could either enhance radiative cooling for readings in the single digits or maintain milder conditions above 15°C. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 12–14°C, making the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes reflect trader weighting of ensemble model divergence ahead of updated runs expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Warsaw show notable spread in minimum temperatures for August 24, with official guidance from sources like the Met Office and BBC pointing to overnight lows near 11–12°C amid variable cloud cover and light winds. This uncertainty stems from evolving high-pressure influences and potential frontal passages that could either enhance radiative cooling for readings in the single digits or maintain milder conditions above 15°C. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 12–14°C, making the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes reflect trader weighting of ensemble model divergence ahead of updated runs expected within 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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