Trader sentiment for Karachi's lowest temperature on August 24 reflects high uncertainty, with near-even odds on extremes above 31°C or below 21°C amid typical August averages near 26–27°C. Weak monsoon currents and below-normal rainfall forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department reduce cloud cover, potentially allowing greater nighttime radiative cooling or daytime heating depending on wind patterns from the Arabian Sea. Sea breezes and urban heat island effects in the coastal city add variability to minimum readings, while model runs show limited intensification of cooler air masses. Upcoming PMD updates and satellite observations of regional humidity and pressure gradients will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 24?
31°C or higher 80%
21°C or below 78%
27°C 37%
29°C 36%
21°C or below
78%
22°C
24%
23°C
31%
24°C
35%
25°C
11%
26°C
20%
27°C
29%
28°C
19%
29°C
36%
30°C
36%
31°C or higher
80%
31°C or higher 80%
21°C or below 78%
27°C 37%
29°C 36%
21°C or below
78%
22°C
24%
23°C
31%
24°C
35%
25°C
11%
26°C
20%
27°C
29%
28°C
19%
29°C
36%
30°C
36%
31°C or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Karachi's lowest temperature on August 24 reflects high uncertainty, with near-even odds on extremes above 31°C or below 21°C amid typical August averages near 26–27°C. Weak monsoon currents and below-normal rainfall forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department reduce cloud cover, potentially allowing greater nighttime radiative cooling or daytime heating depending on wind patterns from the Arabian Sea. Sea breezes and urban heat island effects in the coastal city add variability to minimum readings, while model runs show limited intensification of cooler air masses. Upcoming PMD updates and satellite observations of regional humidity and pressure gradients will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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