New Prediction Markets & Live Odds 2026

Nurmagomedov / Khabib

74%

Dagestan / Russian

74%

Nurmagomedov / Khabib

74%

NEW

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)

<66m

49%

Yes49%No51%

66-68m

42%

Yes42%No59%

<66m

49%

Yes49%No51%

66-68m

42%

Yes42%No59%

NEW

Weekly

OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+

73%

Yes73%No27%

50%+

Yes45%No55%

40%+

73%

Yes73%No27%

50%+

Yes45%No55%

NEW

OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+

84%

Yes84%No16%

1490+

63%

1480+

84%

Yes84%No16%

1490+

63%

NEW

$13K Vol.

Which Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026?

Microsoft (MSFT)

63%

Alphabet (GOOGL)

16%

Yes16%No85%

Microsoft (MSFT)

63%

Alphabet (GOOGL)

16%

Yes16%No85%

NEW

Iran successfully targets shipping by...? card icon

Iran successfully targets shipping by August 24, 2026?

Yes

NEW

Monthly

NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by ___?

December 31, 2026

87%

Yes87%No14%

September 30, 2026

70%

Yes70%No31%

December 31, 2026

87%

Yes87%No14%

September 30, 2026

70%

Yes70%No31%

NEW

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?

Lightricks

Yes6%No94%

Tencent

33%

Yes33%No68%

Lightricks

Yes6%No94%

Tencent

33%

Yes33%No68%

NEW

Monthly

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

26%

Yes26%No74%

OpenAI

22%

Yes22%No79%

Anthropic

26%

Yes26%No74%

OpenAI

22%

Yes22%No79%

NEW

Daily

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Alibaba

38%

Yes38%No62%

Anthropic

28%

Yes28%No72%

Alibaba

38%

Yes38%No62%

Anthropic

28%

Yes28%No72%

NEW

Monthly

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

October 31, 2026

51%

Yes51%No49%

December 31, 2026

51%

Yes51%No50%

October 31, 2026

51%

Yes51%No49%

December 31, 2026

51%

Yes51%No50%

NEW

Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

December 31, 2027

17%

December 31, 2026

13%

Yes13%No88%

December 31, 2027

17%

December 31, 2026

13%

Yes13%No88%

NEW

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Google

31%

Yes31%No69%

Meituan

30%

Google

31%

Yes31%No69%

Meituan

30%

NEW

Monthly

# of views of MrBeast video day 6?

72-73M

96%

Yes96%No5%

73-74M

Yes4%No97%

72-73M

96%

Yes96%No5%

73-74M

Yes4%No97%

NEW

Weekly

Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?

89%

chance

Yes

NEW

Wyoming State Senate District 1 Republican Primary Winner

Chip Neiman

80%

Yes80%No20%

Ogden Driskill

24%

Yes24%No76%

Chip Neiman

80%

Yes80%No20%

Ogden Driskill

24%

Yes24%No76%

NEW

Will T-REX launch a token by ___?

June 30, 2027

50%

December 31, 2027

50%

June 30, 2027

50%

December 31, 2027

50%

NEW

Alaska Senate Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

Peltola 3–6%

30%

Yes30%No70%

Peltola 6–9%

17%

Peltola 3–6%

30%

Yes30%No70%

Peltola 6–9%

17%

NEW

Florida Republican Governor Primary Margin of Victory

Donalds 40%+

47%

Yes47%No54%

Donalds 35–40%

30%

Donalds 40%+

47%

Yes47%No54%

Donalds 35–40%

30%