Recent short-range forecast models show high uncertainty in Tel Aviv’s overnight minimum on August 24, with ensemble spreads reflecting variable sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing under persistent subtropical high pressure. Typical late-August climatology supports lows near 22–24 °C, yet coastal radiative cooling can drop readings several degrees below inland values when winds remain light. Current model consensus from regional and global guidance places the most likely minimum between 21–25 °C, but small shifts in humidity or cloud cover could push it below 20 °C or hold it above 25 °C. Israeli Meteorological Service updates and the next ECMWF run will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24?
20°C or below 76%
30°C or higher 76%
21°C 49%
23°C 30%
20°C or below
76%
21°C
49%
22°C
26%
23°C
30%
24°C
29%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
23%
28°C
8%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
76%
20°C or below 76%
30°C or higher 76%
21°C 49%
23°C 30%
20°C or below
76%
21°C
49%
22°C
26%
23°C
30%
24°C
29%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
23%
28°C
8%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
76%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models show high uncertainty in Tel Aviv’s overnight minimum on August 24, with ensemble spreads reflecting variable sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing under persistent subtropical high pressure. Typical late-August climatology supports lows near 22–24 °C, yet coastal radiative cooling can drop readings several degrees below inland values when winds remain light. Current model consensus from regional and global guidance places the most likely minimum between 21–25 °C, but small shifts in humidity or cloud cover could push it below 20 °C or hold it above 25 °C. Israeli Meteorological Service updates and the next ECMWF run will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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