Recent forecasts from multiple models place Milan's August 24 daytime maximum near 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and moderate humidity around 60 %. This narrow range explains the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Daytime heating is supported by seasonal insolation and weak high pressure, yet increasing afternoon cloud cover and a 60–70 % chance of evening showers introduce modest cooling that caps peaks near the upper 20s. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs, plus small differences in boundary-layer moisture, account for the differentiation between 28 °C and 29 °C; a slightly clearer or moister scenario could nudge the daily high across either threshold before the 24th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 24?
28°C 34%
29°C 31%
30°C 20%
27°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
12%
28°C
34%
29°C
31%
30°C
20%
31°C or higher
4%
28°C 34%
29°C 31%
30°C 20%
27°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$98 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$98 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$88 Vol.
1%
25°C
$88 Vol.
1%
26°C
$80 Vol.
5%
27°C
$409 Vol.
12%
28°C
$267 Vol.
34%
29°C
$156 Vol.
31%
30°C
$512 Vol.
20%
31°C or higher
$146 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Milan's August 24 daytime maximum near 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and moderate humidity around 60 %. This narrow range explains the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Daytime heating is supported by seasonal insolation and weak high pressure, yet increasing afternoon cloud cover and a 60–70 % chance of evening showers introduce modest cooling that caps peaks near the upper 20s. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs, plus small differences in boundary-layer moisture, account for the differentiation between 28 °C and 29 °C; a slightly clearer or moister scenario could nudge the daily high across either threshold before the 24th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,030End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Milan's August 24 daytime maximum near 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and moderate humidity around 60 %. This narrow range explains the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Daytime heating is supported by seasonal insolation and weak high pressure, yet increasing afternoon cloud cover and a 60–70 % chance of evening showers introduce modest cooling that caps peaks near the upper 20s. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs, plus small differences in boundary-layer moisture, account for the differentiation between 28 °C and 29 °C; a slightly clearer or moister scenario could nudge the daily high across either threshold before the 24th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,030End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models place Milan's August 24 daytime maximum near 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and moderate humidity around 60 %. This narrow range explains the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Daytime heating is supported by seasonal insolation and weak high pressure, yet increasing afternoon cloud cover and a 60–70 % chance of evening showers introduce modest cooling that caps peaks near the upper 20s. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs, plus small differences in boundary-layer moisture, account for the differentiation between 28 °C and 29 °C; a slightly clearer or moister scenario could nudge the daily high across either threshold before the 24th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions