Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 30–32°C for August 22, driven by southwesterly flow, high humidity near 75–95%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit afternoon solar heating. This aligns with the August climatological average high of 31.3°C while cloud cover and precipitation introduce modest cooling relative to clearer days. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C because numerical weather prediction ensembles show limited spread in peak values, though timing of rain bands or breaks in cloud could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical analogs from similar monsoon patterns support this narrow range, with resolution depending on official Observatory readings at the reference station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
31°C 40%
32°C 31%
30°C 21%
33°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
21%
31°C
40%
32°C
31%
33°C
7%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 40%
32°C 31%
30°C 21%
33°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
25°C or below
$262 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$455 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,356 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,122 Vol.
4%
30°C
$483 Vol.
21%
31°C
$1,022 Vol.
40%
32°C
$997 Vol.
31%
33°C
$173 Vol.
7%
34°C
$152 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$100 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 30–32°C for August 22, driven by southwesterly flow, high humidity near 75–95%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit afternoon solar heating. This aligns with the August climatological average high of 31.3°C while cloud cover and precipitation introduce modest cooling relative to clearer days. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C because numerical weather prediction ensembles show limited spread in peak values, though timing of rain bands or breaks in cloud could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical analogs from similar monsoon patterns support this narrow range, with resolution depending on official Observatory readings at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,357End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 30–32°C for August 22, driven by southwesterly flow, high humidity near 75–95%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit afternoon solar heating. This aligns with the August climatological average high of 31.3°C while cloud cover and precipitation introduce modest cooling relative to clearer days. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C because numerical weather prediction ensembles show limited spread in peak values, though timing of rain bands or breaks in cloud could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical analogs from similar monsoon patterns support this narrow range, with resolution depending on official Observatory readings at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,357End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 30–32°C for August 22, driven by southwesterly flow, high humidity near 75–95%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit afternoon solar heating. This aligns with the August climatological average high of 31.3°C while cloud cover and precipitation introduce modest cooling relative to clearer days. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C because numerical weather prediction ensembles show limited spread in peak values, though timing of rain bands or breaks in cloud could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical analogs from similar monsoon patterns support this narrow range, with resolution depending on official Observatory readings at the reference station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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