Recent forecasts for London on August 24 align with seasonal norms, positioning a minimum near the 14°C historical average low as the market favorite. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds, combined with the urban heat island effect, typically keeps central London minima clustered between 12–16°C in late August. Current model guidance indicates stable high pressure with daytime highs around 21–24°C, supporting limited diurnal range and low probability of extremes below 12°C or above 17°C. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs in the next 48 hours could shift implied probabilities if cooler air advection strengthens.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 24?
Lowest temperature in London on August 24?
14°C 40%
13°C 24%
15°C 24%
16°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
10°C or below
5%
11°C
5%
12°C
7%
13°C
24%
14°C
40%
15°C
24%
16°C
8%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
1%
14°C 40%
13°C 24%
15°C 24%
16°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
10°C or below
$5 Vol.
5%
11°C
$30 Vol.
5%
12°C
$0 Vol.
7%
13°C
$145 Vol.
24%
14°C
$182 Vol.
40%
15°C
$51 Vol.
24%
16°C
$0 Vol.
8%
17°C
$0 Vol.
5%
18°C
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C
$5 Vol.
2%
20°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for London on August 24 align with seasonal norms, positioning a minimum near the 14°C historical average low as the market favorite. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds, combined with the urban heat island effect, typically keeps central London minima clustered between 12–16°C in late August. Current model guidance indicates stable high pressure with daytime highs around 21–24°C, supporting limited diurnal range and low probability of extremes below 12°C or above 17°C. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs in the next 48 hours could shift implied probabilities if cooler air advection strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ET
Volume
$427End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for London on August 24 align with seasonal norms, positioning a minimum near the 14°C historical average low as the market favorite. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds, combined with the urban heat island effect, typically keeps central London minima clustered between 12–16°C in late August. Current model guidance indicates stable high pressure with daytime highs around 21–24°C, supporting limited diurnal range and low probability of extremes below 12°C or above 17°C. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs in the next 48 hours could shift implied probabilities if cooler air advection strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$427End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for London on August 24 align with seasonal norms, positioning a minimum near the 14°C historical average low as the market favorite. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds, combined with the urban heat island effect, typically keeps central London minima clustered between 12–16°C in late August. Current model guidance indicates stable high pressure with daytime highs around 21–24°C, supporting limited diurnal range and low probability of extremes below 12°C or above 17°C. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs in the next 48 hours could shift implied probabilities if cooler air advection strengthens.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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