Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a cooling trend over the Baltic region, with Helsinki expected to see overnight lows near 11–13°C on August 24 amid northerly flow and possible showers. This positions 8°C or below as the market favorite at 44% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble runs showing potential for clearer skies and radiational cooling under a building high-pressure system. Historical August lows average 9–13°C with decreasing trends late in the month, providing context for the clustered probabilities around 9–11°C, while shorter-range updates expected within 48 hours could shift odds if models diverge on cloud cover or wind.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on August 24?
18°C or higher 48%
8°C or below 43%
11°C 37%
15°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
8°C or below
43%
9°C
19%
10°C
20%
11°C
30%
12°C
20%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
36%
16°C
36%
17°C
36%
18°C or higher
48%
18°C or higher 48%
8°C or below 43%
11°C 37%
15°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Vol.
43%
9°C
$0 Vol.
19%
10°C
$0 Vol.
20%
11°C
$5 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
20%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$4 Vol.
19%
15°C
$5 Vol.
36%
16°C
$5 Vol.
36%
17°C
$5 Vol.
36%
18°C or higher
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a cooling trend over the Baltic region, with Helsinki expected to see overnight lows near 11–13°C on August 24 amid northerly flow and possible showers. This positions 8°C or below as the market favorite at 44% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble runs showing potential for clearer skies and radiational cooling under a building high-pressure system. Historical August lows average 9–13°C with decreasing trends late in the month, providing context for the clustered probabilities around 9–11°C, while shorter-range updates expected within 48 hours could shift odds if models diverge on cloud cover or wind.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$29End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a cooling trend over the Baltic region, with Helsinki expected to see overnight lows near 11–13°C on August 24 amid northerly flow and possible showers. This positions 8°C or below as the market favorite at 44% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble runs showing potential for clearer skies and radiational cooling under a building high-pressure system. Historical August lows average 9–13°C with decreasing trends late in the month, providing context for the clustered probabilities around 9–11°C, while shorter-range updates expected within 48 hours could shift odds if models diverge on cloud cover or wind.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a cooling trend over the Baltic region, with Helsinki expected to see overnight lows near 11–13°C on August 24 amid northerly flow and possible showers. This positions 8°C or below as the market favorite at 44% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble runs showing potential for clearer skies and radiational cooling under a building high-pressure system. Historical August lows average 9–13°C with decreasing trends late in the month, providing context for the clustered probabilities around 9–11°C, while shorter-range updates expected within 48 hours could shift odds if models diverge on cloud cover or wind.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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