Current short-range forecasts and ensemble models from agencies like the South African Weather Service indicate typical late-winter conditions for Cape Town on August 24, with a daily maximum most likely near 18–19°C. This aligns with the month’s climatological average high of approximately 19°C, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and prevailing southerly winds that limit daytime warming while preventing sharp cold outbreaks. Recent observations show stable high-pressure influence with light to moderate winds and minimal frontal activity, keeping temperatures from deviating far from seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 18–19°C outcomes, incorporates these model runs and historical variability, where extremes below 16°C or above 21°C remain uncommon without strong synoptic shifts. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th will be the key catalyst for any probability adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
19°C 44%
18°C 30%
20°C 17%
21°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
7%
18°C
30%
19°C
44%
20°C
17%
21°C
8%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 44%
18°C 30%
20°C 17%
21°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
13°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$15 Vol.
1%
16°C
$12 Vol.
6%
17°C
$10 Vol.
7%
18°C
$245 Vol.
30%
19°C
$151 Vol.
44%
20°C
$279 Vol.
17%
21°C
$10 Vol.
8%
22°C
$58 Vol.
4%
23°C or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts and ensemble models from agencies like the South African Weather Service indicate typical late-winter conditions for Cape Town on August 24, with a daily maximum most likely near 18–19°C. This aligns with the month’s climatological average high of approximately 19°C, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and prevailing southerly winds that limit daytime warming while preventing sharp cold outbreaks. Recent observations show stable high-pressure influence with light to moderate winds and minimal frontal activity, keeping temperatures from deviating far from seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 18–19°C outcomes, incorporates these model runs and historical variability, where extremes below 16°C or above 21°C remain uncommon without strong synoptic shifts. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th will be the key catalyst for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
Volume
$813End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts and ensemble models from agencies like the South African Weather Service indicate typical late-winter conditions for Cape Town on August 24, with a daily maximum most likely near 18–19°C. This aligns with the month’s climatological average high of approximately 19°C, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and prevailing southerly winds that limit daytime warming while preventing sharp cold outbreaks. Recent observations show stable high-pressure influence with light to moderate winds and minimal frontal activity, keeping temperatures from deviating far from seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 18–19°C outcomes, incorporates these model runs and historical variability, where extremes below 16°C or above 21°C remain uncommon without strong synoptic shifts. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th will be the key catalyst for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$813End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts and ensemble models from agencies like the South African Weather Service indicate typical late-winter conditions for Cape Town on August 24, with a daily maximum most likely near 18–19°C. This aligns with the month’s climatological average high of approximately 19°C, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and prevailing southerly winds that limit daytime warming while preventing sharp cold outbreaks. Recent observations show stable high-pressure influence with light to moderate winds and minimal frontal activity, keeping temperatures from deviating far from seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 18–19°C outcomes, incorporates these model runs and historical variability, where extremes below 16°C or above 21°C remain uncommon without strong synoptic shifts. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th will be the key catalyst for any probability adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions