**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara on August 23 likely between 15–19°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds.** Radiational cooling overnight, typical in the region's continental climate with low humidity (around 40–50%), supports the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 17°C and 15°C or below. Slight model differences in predicted wind speeds, dew points, and any thin high cloud cover create the narrow spread between these outcomes, while the urban heat island effect may modestly limit how low city-center readings fall compared to surrounding areas. Stable high-pressure conditions and absent frontal systems reinforce the consensus for a cool night relative to recent August averages, with final resolution hinging on the 00:00–06:00 local time window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 23?
19°C 43%
17°C 32%
15°C or below 30%
18°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
30%
16°C
20%
17°C
32%
18°C
22%
19°C
23%
20°C
20%
21°C
19%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 43%
17°C 32%
15°C or below 30%
18°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
30%
16°C
$9 Vol.
20%
17°C
$0 Vol.
32%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$77 Vol.
23%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$47 Vol.
19%
22°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$179 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$179 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara on August 23 likely between 15–19°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds.** Radiational cooling overnight, typical in the region's continental climate with low humidity (around 40–50%), supports the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 17°C and 15°C or below. Slight model differences in predicted wind speeds, dew points, and any thin high cloud cover create the narrow spread between these outcomes, while the urban heat island effect may modestly limit how low city-center readings fall compared to surrounding areas. Stable high-pressure conditions and absent frontal systems reinforce the consensus for a cool night relative to recent August averages, with final resolution hinging on the 00:00–06:00 local time window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$722End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara on August 23 likely between 15–19°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds.** Radiational cooling overnight, typical in the region's continental climate with low humidity (around 40–50%), supports the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 17°C and 15°C or below. Slight model differences in predicted wind speeds, dew points, and any thin high cloud cover create the narrow spread between these outcomes, while the urban heat island effect may modestly limit how low city-center readings fall compared to surrounding areas. Stable high-pressure conditions and absent frontal systems reinforce the consensus for a cool night relative to recent August averages, with final resolution hinging on the 00:00–06:00 local time window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$722End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara on August 23 likely between 15–19°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds.** Radiational cooling overnight, typical in the region's continental climate with low humidity (around 40–50%), supports the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 17°C and 15°C or below. Slight model differences in predicted wind speeds, dew points, and any thin high cloud cover create the narrow spread between these outcomes, while the urban heat island effect may modestly limit how low city-center readings fall compared to surrounding areas. Stable high-pressure conditions and absent frontal systems reinforce the consensus for a cool night relative to recent August averages, with final resolution hinging on the 00:00–06:00 local time window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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