Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 22 near 12°C, driven by overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and advection of cooler air from the northeast. Current conditions show a cooling trend, with recent nights dipping to 13–15°C amid lighter winds and higher pressure building in. Historical August 22 averages place the low at approximately 14°C, but the present pattern of northerly flow and reduced daytime heating supports the lower range. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 12°C and strong support for 11–13°C outcomes, aligns with this consensus guidance ahead of final overnight observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 22?
12°C 48%
13°C 22%
11°C 20%
14°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
20%
12°C
48%
13°C
22%
14°C
10%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 48%
13°C 22%
11°C 20%
14°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
10°C
$91 Vol.
3%
11°C
$157 Vol.
20%
12°C
$2,235 Vol.
48%
13°C
$500 Vol.
22%
14°C
$210 Vol.
10%
15°C
$490 Vol.
9%
16°C
$45 Vol.
1%
17°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$113 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$57 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 22 near 12°C, driven by overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and advection of cooler air from the northeast. Current conditions show a cooling trend, with recent nights dipping to 13–15°C amid lighter winds and higher pressure building in. Historical August 22 averages place the low at approximately 14°C, but the present pattern of northerly flow and reduced daytime heating supports the lower range. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 12°C and strong support for 11–13°C outcomes, aligns with this consensus guidance ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$3,949End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 22 near 12°C, driven by overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and advection of cooler air from the northeast. Current conditions show a cooling trend, with recent nights dipping to 13–15°C amid lighter winds and higher pressure building in. Historical August 22 averages place the low at approximately 14°C, but the present pattern of northerly flow and reduced daytime heating supports the lower range. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 12°C and strong support for 11–13°C outcomes, aligns with this consensus guidance ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,949End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 22 near 12°C, driven by overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and advection of cooler air from the northeast. Current conditions show a cooling trend, with recent nights dipping to 13–15°C amid lighter winds and higher pressure building in. Historical August 22 averages place the low at approximately 14°C, but the present pattern of northerly flow and reduced daytime heating supports the lower range. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 12°C and strong support for 11–13°C outcomes, aligns with this consensus guidance ahead of final overnight observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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