Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Istanbul will see mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds on August 24, supporting a daytime high in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Model consensus clusters around 29–31°C, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C and 29°C, as light to moderate NE flow from the Black Sea region limits peak heating while clear skies allow strong solar radiation. Late-summer climatology shows typical August maxima near 30°C, and recent days have tracked 29–32°C under similar high-pressure dominance with negligible precipitation. No significant synoptic changes or model shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook, keeping implied probabilities anchored on these values ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
28°C 53%
29°C 22%
27°C 20%
30°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
53%
29°C
22%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
2%
28°C 53%
29°C 22%
27°C 20%
30°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$33 Vol.
1%
24°C
$33 Vol.
1%
25°C
$176 Vol.
2%
26°C
$118 Vol.
5%
27°C
$531 Vol.
20%
28°C
$544 Vol.
53%
29°C
$165 Vol.
22%
30°C
$128 Vol.
6%
31°C
$74 Vol.
2%
32°C
$5 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$255 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Istanbul will see mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds on August 24, supporting a daytime high in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Model consensus clusters around 29–31°C, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C and 29°C, as light to moderate NE flow from the Black Sea region limits peak heating while clear skies allow strong solar radiation. Late-summer climatology shows typical August maxima near 30°C, and recent days have tracked 29–32°C under similar high-pressure dominance with negligible precipitation. No significant synoptic changes or model shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook, keeping implied probabilities anchored on these values ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,063End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Istanbul will see mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds on August 24, supporting a daytime high in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Model consensus clusters around 29–31°C, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C and 29°C, as light to moderate NE flow from the Black Sea region limits peak heating while clear skies allow strong solar radiation. Late-summer climatology shows typical August maxima near 30°C, and recent days have tracked 29–32°C under similar high-pressure dominance with negligible precipitation. No significant synoptic changes or model shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook, keeping implied probabilities anchored on these values ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,063End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Istanbul will see mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds on August 24, supporting a daytime high in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Model consensus clusters around 29–31°C, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C and 29°C, as light to moderate NE flow from the Black Sea region limits peak heating while clear skies allow strong solar radiation. Late-summer climatology shows typical August maxima near 30°C, and recent days have tracked 29–32°C under similar high-pressure dominance with negligible precipitation. No significant synoptic changes or model shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook, keeping implied probabilities anchored on these values ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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