Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 20–22°C for Amsterdam on August 24 under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds, supporting the tight 21–22°C market lead. Stable high pressure and reduced cloud cover allow modest daytime warming from overnight lows near 12–14°C, though the easterly flow limits advection of warmer air masses compared to earlier August peaks above 30°C. Model consensus remains narrow, with minor variations in timing of peak heating and any residual moisture influencing exact maxima. Traders weigh these near-term runs against typical late-August climatology around 20–22°C, monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS updates for potential shifts in boundary-layer conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
22°C 38%
21°C 35%
20°C 13%
23°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
13%
21°C
35%
22°C
38%
23°C
11%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 38%
21°C 35%
20°C 13%
23°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
13%
21°C
35%
22°C
38%
23°C
11%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 20–22°C for Amsterdam on August 24 under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds, supporting the tight 21–22°C market lead. Stable high pressure and reduced cloud cover allow modest daytime warming from overnight lows near 12–14°C, though the easterly flow limits advection of warmer air masses compared to earlier August peaks above 30°C. Model consensus remains narrow, with minor variations in timing of peak heating and any residual moisture influencing exact maxima. Traders weigh these near-term runs against typical late-August climatology around 20–22°C, monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS updates for potential shifts in boundary-layer conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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