Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 22 will likely range from 12–14°C under moderate northwesterly flow and variable cloud cover. This setup limits strong radiative cooling while allowing modest heat loss after daytime highs near 19°C. Partial clearing overnight could push readings toward 11–12°C, whereas thicker cloud decks or sustained onshore winds would favor 13–14°C by reducing the temperature drop. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 13°C, providing context for the tight market clustering around the 12–14°C band as traders weigh the latest model consensus and potential forecast shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 22?
13°C 43%
14°C 38%
15°C 16%
12°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
7%
10°C
9%
11°C
9%
12°C
18%
13°C
43%
14°C
38%
15°C
16%
16°C
8%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
2%
13°C 43%
14°C 38%
15°C 16%
12°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
8°C or below
$40 Vol.
1%
9°C
$88 Vol.
7%
10°C
$28 Vol.
9%
11°C
$0 Vol.
9%
12°C
$8 Vol.
18%
13°C
$0 Vol.
43%
14°C
$0 Vol.
38%
15°C
$0 Vol.
16%
16°C
$0 Vol.
8%
17°C
$28 Vol.
7%
18°C or higher
$28 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 22 will likely range from 12–14°C under moderate northwesterly flow and variable cloud cover. This setup limits strong radiative cooling while allowing modest heat loss after daytime highs near 19°C. Partial clearing overnight could push readings toward 11–12°C, whereas thicker cloud decks or sustained onshore winds would favor 13–14°C by reducing the temperature drop. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 13°C, providing context for the tight market clustering around the 12–14°C band as traders weigh the latest model consensus and potential forecast shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Volume
$219End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 22 will likely range from 12–14°C under moderate northwesterly flow and variable cloud cover. This setup limits strong radiative cooling while allowing modest heat loss after daytime highs near 19°C. Partial clearing overnight could push readings toward 11–12°C, whereas thicker cloud decks or sustained onshore winds would favor 13–14°C by reducing the temperature drop. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 13°C, providing context for the tight market clustering around the 12–14°C band as traders weigh the latest model consensus and potential forecast shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$219End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 22 will likely range from 12–14°C under moderate northwesterly flow and variable cloud cover. This setup limits strong radiative cooling while allowing modest heat loss after daytime highs near 19°C. Partial clearing overnight could push readings toward 11–12°C, whereas thicker cloud decks or sustained onshore winds would favor 13–14°C by reducing the temperature drop. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 13°C, providing context for the tight market clustering around the 12–14°C band as traders weigh the latest model consensus and potential forecast shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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