Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including guidance aligned with Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, indicate Moscow's August 24 daytime high will most likely reach 19–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and possible isolated showers. These conditions reflect typical late-August variability, several degrees below the 21–23°C climatological average, driven by modest northerly flow and limited solar heating rather than strong synoptic forcing. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these thresholds because small shifts in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or boundary-layer mixing could alter the peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
20°C 44%
19°C 36%
18°C 10%
21°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
36%
20°C
44%
21°C
10%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 44%
19°C 36%
18°C 10%
21°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$60 Vol.
3%
16°C
$38 Vol.
2%
17°C
$81 Vol.
3%
18°C
$103 Vol.
10%
19°C
$63 Vol.
36%
20°C
$198 Vol.
44%
21°C
$135 Vol.
10%
22°C
$82 Vol.
4%
23°C
$32 Vol.
1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$98 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including guidance aligned with Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, indicate Moscow's August 24 daytime high will most likely reach 19–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and possible isolated showers. These conditions reflect typical late-August variability, several degrees below the 21–23°C climatological average, driven by modest northerly flow and limited solar heating rather than strong synoptic forcing. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these thresholds because small shifts in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or boundary-layer mixing could alter the peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$894End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including guidance aligned with Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, indicate Moscow's August 24 daytime high will most likely reach 19–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and possible isolated showers. These conditions reflect typical late-August variability, several degrees below the 21–23°C climatological average, driven by modest northerly flow and limited solar heating rather than strong synoptic forcing. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these thresholds because small shifts in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or boundary-layer mixing could alter the peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$894End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including guidance aligned with Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, indicate Moscow's August 24 daytime high will most likely reach 19–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and possible isolated showers. These conditions reflect typical late-August variability, several degrees below the 21–23°C climatological average, driven by modest northerly flow and limited solar heating rather than strong synoptic forcing. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these thresholds because small shifts in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or boundary-layer mixing could alter the peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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