Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position Milan's August 22 daytime high near 28–30 °C under stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly flow, driving trader consensus toward the 29 °C (43.5 %) and 28 °C (31 %) outcomes. Official guidance from agencies shows morning clouds giving way to partly sunny skies with minimal precipitation risk, keeping maximum temperatures below the 30 °C threshold that holds 21.5 % implied probability. Climatological averages for late August in the Po Valley support this range, while minor model spread around steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing creates the observed tight split between the two leading buckets rather than a broader distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 22?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 22?
29°C 43%
28°C 31%
30°C or higher 22%
27°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
31%
29°C
43%
30°C or higher
22%
29°C 43%
28°C 31%
30°C or higher 22%
27°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
20°C or below
$299 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$314 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$338 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$290 Vol.
1%
26°C
$466 Vol.
3%
27°C
$768 Vol.
7%
28°C
$1,412 Vol.
31%
29°C
$1,783 Vol.
43%
30°C or higher
$1,767 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position Milan's August 22 daytime high near 28–30 °C under stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly flow, driving trader consensus toward the 29 °C (43.5 %) and 28 °C (31 %) outcomes. Official guidance from agencies shows morning clouds giving way to partly sunny skies with minimal precipitation risk, keeping maximum temperatures below the 30 °C threshold that holds 21.5 % implied probability. Climatological averages for late August in the Po Valley support this range, while minor model spread around steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing creates the observed tight split between the two leading buckets rather than a broader distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$8,035End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position Milan's August 22 daytime high near 28–30 °C under stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly flow, driving trader consensus toward the 29 °C (43.5 %) and 28 °C (31 %) outcomes. Official guidance from agencies shows morning clouds giving way to partly sunny skies with minimal precipitation risk, keeping maximum temperatures below the 30 °C threshold that holds 21.5 % implied probability. Climatological averages for late August in the Po Valley support this range, while minor model spread around steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing creates the observed tight split between the two leading buckets rather than a broader distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,035End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position Milan's August 22 daytime high near 28–30 °C under stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly flow, driving trader consensus toward the 29 °C (43.5 %) and 28 °C (31 %) outcomes. Official guidance from agencies shows morning clouds giving way to partly sunny skies with minimal precipitation risk, keeping maximum temperatures below the 30 °C threshold that holds 21.5 % implied probability. Climatological averages for late August in the Po Valley support this range, while minor model spread around steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing creates the observed tight split between the two leading buckets rather than a broader distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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