**Trader sentiment for Warsaw’s August 24 maximum temperature centers on 19–20 °C because official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Met Office, BBC, and timeanddate converge on daytime highs in this narrow range.** Westerly flow is expected to advect cooler maritime air across Poland, while scattered showers and increased cloud cover limit solar heating. These conditions align with the typical late-August cooling trend, when average highs decline from the mid-20s earlier in the month toward the seasonal norm near 22 °C. Model runs show modest disagreement on the exact timing and coverage of showers, which can shift the peak by 1 °C depending on whether breaks of sun occur during the warmest hours. With resolution less than 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance that favors 19–20 °C over warmer or cooler outliers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 24?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 24?
20°C 35%
19°C 34%
21°C 11%
18°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
9%
19°C
34%
20°C
35%
21°C
11%
22°C
5%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
2%
20°C 35%
19°C 34%
21°C 11%
18°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$135 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$18 Vol.
1%
17°C
$35 Vol.
5%
18°C
$75 Vol.
9%
19°C
$102 Vol.
34%
20°C
$96 Vol.
35%
21°C
$44 Vol.
11%
22°C
$7 Vol.
5%
23°C
$51 Vol.
6%
24°C
$45 Vol.
3%
25°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Warsaw’s August 24 maximum temperature centers on 19–20 °C because official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Met Office, BBC, and timeanddate converge on daytime highs in this narrow range.** Westerly flow is expected to advect cooler maritime air across Poland, while scattered showers and increased cloud cover limit solar heating. These conditions align with the typical late-August cooling trend, when average highs decline from the mid-20s earlier in the month toward the seasonal norm near 22 °C. Model runs show modest disagreement on the exact timing and coverage of showers, which can shift the peak by 1 °C depending on whether breaks of sun occur during the warmest hours. With resolution less than 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance that favors 19–20 °C over warmer or cooler outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$614End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Warsaw’s August 24 maximum temperature centers on 19–20 °C because official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Met Office, BBC, and timeanddate converge on daytime highs in this narrow range.** Westerly flow is expected to advect cooler maritime air across Poland, while scattered showers and increased cloud cover limit solar heating. These conditions align with the typical late-August cooling trend, when average highs decline from the mid-20s earlier in the month toward the seasonal norm near 22 °C. Model runs show modest disagreement on the exact timing and coverage of showers, which can shift the peak by 1 °C depending on whether breaks of sun occur during the warmest hours. With resolution less than 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance that favors 19–20 °C over warmer or cooler outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$614End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Warsaw’s August 24 maximum temperature centers on 19–20 °C because official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Met Office, BBC, and timeanddate converge on daytime highs in this narrow range.** Westerly flow is expected to advect cooler maritime air across Poland, while scattered showers and increased cloud cover limit solar heating. These conditions align with the typical late-August cooling trend, when average highs decline from the mid-20s earlier in the month toward the seasonal norm near 22 °C. Model runs show modest disagreement on the exact timing and coverage of showers, which can shift the peak by 1 °C depending on whether breaks of sun occur during the warmest hours. With resolution less than 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance that favors 19–20 °C over warmer or cooler outliers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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