Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position a high of 23–24°C as the most probable outcome for Munich on August 24, aligning with market-implied odds that assign 38.5% to 24°C and 27.5% to 23°C. A stable high-pressure regime with easterly flow and partly cloudy skies is expected to moderate daytime heating near seasonal norms, where the 1991–2020 average high stands at 23.4°C. Limited model spread across runs supports the concentration of probability in the low-to-mid 20s, while drier conditions reduce the chance of significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation. Updated guidance from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and subsequent model cycles will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 24?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 24?
24°C 38%
23°C 28%
25°C 15%
22°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
11%
23°C
28%
24°C
38%
25°C
15%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 38%
23°C 28%
25°C 15%
22°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$152 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$15 Vol.
1%
20°C
$12 Vol.
1%
21°C
$62 Vol.
5%
22°C
$314 Vol.
11%
23°C
$1,054 Vol.
28%
24°C
$279 Vol.
38%
25°C
$64 Vol.
15%
26°C
$70 Vol.
4%
27°C
$35 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$185 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position a high of 23–24°C as the most probable outcome for Munich on August 24, aligning with market-implied odds that assign 38.5% to 24°C and 27.5% to 23°C. A stable high-pressure regime with easterly flow and partly cloudy skies is expected to moderate daytime heating near seasonal norms, where the 1991–2020 average high stands at 23.4°C. Limited model spread across runs supports the concentration of probability in the low-to-mid 20s, while drier conditions reduce the chance of significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation. Updated guidance from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and subsequent model cycles will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,242End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position a high of 23–24°C as the most probable outcome for Munich on August 24, aligning with market-implied odds that assign 38.5% to 24°C and 27.5% to 23°C. A stable high-pressure regime with easterly flow and partly cloudy skies is expected to moderate daytime heating near seasonal norms, where the 1991–2020 average high stands at 23.4°C. Limited model spread across runs supports the concentration of probability in the low-to-mid 20s, while drier conditions reduce the chance of significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation. Updated guidance from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and subsequent model cycles will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,242End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position a high of 23–24°C as the most probable outcome for Munich on August 24, aligning with market-implied odds that assign 38.5% to 24°C and 27.5% to 23°C. A stable high-pressure regime with easterly flow and partly cloudy skies is expected to moderate daytime heating near seasonal norms, where the 1991–2020 average high stands at 23.4°C. Limited model spread across runs supports the concentration of probability in the low-to-mid 20s, while drier conditions reduce the chance of significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation. Updated guidance from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and subsequent model cycles will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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