Market-implied odds favor a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Lucknow on August 23 due to active southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered cloud cover and potential rainfall expected to moderate daytime heating. Ensemble forecast models show close agreement on surface temperatures but diverge on the timing and intensity of convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C under heavier showers versus clearer intervals allowing stronger insolation. Typical late-August climatology for the region features high humidity and frequent low-pressure influences that keep maxima near these levels, though local steering patterns and soil moisture from recent rains add further variability. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and satellite observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve remaining model spread ahead of market settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 23?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 23?
33°C 38%
32°C 32%
34°C 15%
31°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
32%
33°C
38%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
3%
33°C 38%
32°C 32%
34°C 15%
31°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$439 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$301 Vol.
4%
29°C
$404 Vol.
2%
30°C
$427 Vol.
3%
31°C
$771 Vol.
9%
32°C
$1,969 Vol.
32%
33°C
$881 Vol.
38%
34°C
$919 Vol.
15%
35°C or higher
$416 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds favor a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Lucknow on August 23 due to active southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered cloud cover and potential rainfall expected to moderate daytime heating. Ensemble forecast models show close agreement on surface temperatures but diverge on the timing and intensity of convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C under heavier showers versus clearer intervals allowing stronger insolation. Typical late-August climatology for the region features high humidity and frequent low-pressure influences that keep maxima near these levels, though local steering patterns and soil moisture from recent rains add further variability. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and satellite observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve remaining model spread ahead of market settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,062End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds favor a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Lucknow on August 23 due to active southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered cloud cover and potential rainfall expected to moderate daytime heating. Ensemble forecast models show close agreement on surface temperatures but diverge on the timing and intensity of convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C under heavier showers versus clearer intervals allowing stronger insolation. Typical late-August climatology for the region features high humidity and frequent low-pressure influences that keep maxima near these levels, though local steering patterns and soil moisture from recent rains add further variability. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and satellite observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve remaining model spread ahead of market settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,062End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds favor a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Lucknow on August 23 due to active southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered cloud cover and potential rainfall expected to moderate daytime heating. Ensemble forecast models show close agreement on surface temperatures but diverge on the timing and intensity of convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C under heavier showers versus clearer intervals allowing stronger insolation. Typical late-August climatology for the region features high humidity and frequent low-pressure influences that keep maxima near these levels, though local steering patterns and soil moisture from recent rains add further variability. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and satellite observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve remaining model spread ahead of market settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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