Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London under moderate easterly flow with partial cloud cover on August 24, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 21–23 °C. After early-August heat (peaks above 35 °C) gave way to cooler northerly then easterly regimes, current guidance clusters tightly around 22 °C, reflected in the near-even market odds for 21 °C and 22 °C. Key variables remain afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing; stronger insolation or lighter winds could push readings to 23 °C, while increased low cloud or a slightly brisker breeze would favor 21 °C. Updated model cycles and observational trends over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on August 24?
Highest temperature in London on August 24?
22°C 37%
21°C 33%
23°C 15%
20°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
12%
21°C
33%
22°C
37%
23°C
15%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
22°C 37%
21°C 33%
23°C 15%
20°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
$99 Vol.
2%
18°C
$116 Vol.
2%
19°C
$388 Vol.
2%
20°C
$827 Vol.
12%
21°C
$491 Vol.
33%
22°C
$2,385 Vol.
37%
23°C
$151 Vol.
15%
24°C
$236 Vol.
3%
25°C
$829 Vol.
1%
26°C
$61 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London under moderate easterly flow with partial cloud cover on August 24, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 21–23 °C. After early-August heat (peaks above 35 °C) gave way to cooler northerly then easterly regimes, current guidance clusters tightly around 22 °C, reflected in the near-even market odds for 21 °C and 22 °C. Key variables remain afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing; stronger insolation or lighter winds could push readings to 23 °C, while increased low cloud or a slightly brisker breeze would favor 21 °C. Updated model cycles and observational trends over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Volume
$5,587End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London under moderate easterly flow with partial cloud cover on August 24, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 21–23 °C. After early-August heat (peaks above 35 °C) gave way to cooler northerly then easterly regimes, current guidance clusters tightly around 22 °C, reflected in the near-even market odds for 21 °C and 22 °C. Key variables remain afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing; stronger insolation or lighter winds could push readings to 23 °C, while increased low cloud or a slightly brisker breeze would favor 21 °C. Updated model cycles and observational trends over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,587End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London under moderate easterly flow with partial cloud cover on August 24, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 21–23 °C. After early-August heat (peaks above 35 °C) gave way to cooler northerly then easterly regimes, current guidance clusters tightly around 22 °C, reflected in the near-even market odds for 21 °C and 22 °C. Key variables remain afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing; stronger insolation or lighter winds could push readings to 23 °C, while increased low cloud or a slightly brisker breeze would favor 21 °C. Updated model cycles and observational trends over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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