**Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over the Arabian Sea region are the main drivers positioning 22°C or below as the leading market outcome at 47% implied probability for Karachi’s August 23 minimum temperature.** Official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate typical late-August overnight lows of 26–28°C (79–82°F) under partly cloudy to showery conditions, consistent with climatological averages near 26–27°C. Enhanced rainfall potential from Bay of Bengal depressions or local thundershowers can increase humidity and reduce radiative cooling, yet traders appear to price in a higher chance of stronger cooling from persistent cloudiness or heavier precipitation. Shorter-range model consensus points to patchy rain on August 23 with highs near 31°C, keeping resolution sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of any showers relative to the minimum-temperature observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on August 23?
22°C or below 88%
32°C or higher 52%
30°C 51%
31°C 51%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
88%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
29%
29°C
26%
30°C
51%
31°C
51%
32°C or higher
52%
22°C or below 88%
32°C or higher 52%
30°C 51%
31°C 51%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
88%
23°C
$5 Vol.
49%
24°C
$5 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
29%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$5 Vol.
51%
31°C
$5 Vol.
51%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over the Arabian Sea region are the main drivers positioning 22°C or below as the leading market outcome at 47% implied probability for Karachi’s August 23 minimum temperature.** Official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate typical late-August overnight lows of 26–28°C (79–82°F) under partly cloudy to showery conditions, consistent with climatological averages near 26–27°C. Enhanced rainfall potential from Bay of Bengal depressions or local thundershowers can increase humidity and reduce radiative cooling, yet traders appear to price in a higher chance of stronger cooling from persistent cloudiness or heavier precipitation. Shorter-range model consensus points to patchy rain on August 23 with highs near 31°C, keeping resolution sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of any showers relative to the minimum-temperature observation window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over the Arabian Sea region are the main drivers positioning 22°C or below as the leading market outcome at 47% implied probability for Karachi’s August 23 minimum temperature.** Official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate typical late-August overnight lows of 26–28°C (79–82°F) under partly cloudy to showery conditions, consistent with climatological averages near 26–27°C. Enhanced rainfall potential from Bay of Bengal depressions or local thundershowers can increase humidity and reduce radiative cooling, yet traders appear to price in a higher chance of stronger cooling from persistent cloudiness or heavier precipitation. Shorter-range model consensus points to patchy rain on August 23 with highs near 31°C, keeping resolution sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of any showers relative to the minimum-temperature observation window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over the Arabian Sea region are the main drivers positioning 22°C or below as the leading market outcome at 47% implied probability for Karachi’s August 23 minimum temperature.** Official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate typical late-August overnight lows of 26–28°C (79–82°F) under partly cloudy to showery conditions, consistent with climatological averages near 26–27°C. Enhanced rainfall potential from Bay of Bengal depressions or local thundershowers can increase humidity and reduce radiative cooling, yet traders appear to price in a higher chance of stronger cooling from persistent cloudiness or heavier precipitation. Shorter-range model consensus points to patchy rain on August 23 with highs near 31°C, keeping resolution sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of any showers relative to the minimum-temperature observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Beware of external links.
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