Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and enhanced southwesterly flow from Tropical Depression TD22 (potentially Gaenari) and nearby systems are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 26–27°C for Taipei’s August 24 overnight low. Central Weather Administration guidance and short-range models indicate minimum temperatures of 25–29°C amid widespread showers that limit radiative cooling, while historical August normals near 26°C provide a climatological anchor. Trader consensus reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimums given model spread on timing and intensity of rain, with resolution hinging on updated CWA briefings and observational data through the event window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
26°C 97%
27°C 97%
31°C or higher 93%
23°C 86%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
45%
22°C
82%
23°C
86%
24°C
82%
25°C
86%
26°C
97%
27°C
97%
28°C
81%
29°C
85%
30°C
81%
31°C or higher
93%
26°C 97%
27°C 97%
31°C or higher 93%
23°C 86%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$5,292 Vol.
45%
22°C
$5 Vol.
82%
23°C
$0 Vol.
86%
24°C
$0 Vol.
82%
25°C
$0 Vol.
86%
26°C
$0 Vol.
97%
27°C
$0 Vol.
97%
28°C
$75 Vol.
81%
29°C
$60 Vol.
85%
30°C
$75 Vol.
81%
31°C or higher
$2,072 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and enhanced southwesterly flow from Tropical Depression TD22 (potentially Gaenari) and nearby systems are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 26–27°C for Taipei’s August 24 overnight low. Central Weather Administration guidance and short-range models indicate minimum temperatures of 25–29°C amid widespread showers that limit radiative cooling, while historical August normals near 26°C provide a climatological anchor. Trader consensus reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimums given model spread on timing and intensity of rain, with resolution hinging on updated CWA briefings and observational data through the event window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$7,579End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and enhanced southwesterly flow from Tropical Depression TD22 (potentially Gaenari) and nearby systems are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 26–27°C for Taipei’s August 24 overnight low. Central Weather Administration guidance and short-range models indicate minimum temperatures of 25–29°C amid widespread showers that limit radiative cooling, while historical August normals near 26°C provide a climatological anchor. Trader consensus reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimums given model spread on timing and intensity of rain, with resolution hinging on updated CWA briefings and observational data through the event window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,579End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and enhanced southwesterly flow from Tropical Depression TD22 (potentially Gaenari) and nearby systems are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 26–27°C for Taipei’s August 24 overnight low. Central Weather Administration guidance and short-range models indicate minimum temperatures of 25–29°C amid widespread showers that limit radiative cooling, while historical August normals near 26°C provide a climatological anchor. Trader consensus reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimums given model spread on timing and intensity of rain, with resolution hinging on updated CWA briefings and observational data through the event window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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