Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office, indicate a high of 27°C for Istanbul on August 22 under stable summer high-pressure conditions typical of the region's Mediterranean climate, with light northerly winds and low humidity supporting moderate temperatures near seasonal averages of 28–30°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential from urban heat island effects or southerly flows, while recent observational data confirm no incoming heatwave or significant cloud cover to alter the trajectory. These factors position 27–28°C as the market's leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 84%, reflecting trader assessment of the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather predictions ahead of the daily maximum resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 22?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 22?
27°C 52%
28°C 33%
26°C 12%
29°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
12%
27°C
52%
28°C
33%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 33%
26°C 12%
29°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
23°C or below
$221 Vol.
1%
24°C
$215 Vol.
1%
25°C
$233 Vol.
2%
26°C
$644 Vol.
12%
27°C
$646 Vol.
52%
28°C
$644 Vol.
33%
29°C
$159 Vol.
4%
30°C
$206 Vol.
2%
31°C
$213 Vol.
1%
32°C
$270 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$486 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office, indicate a high of 27°C for Istanbul on August 22 under stable summer high-pressure conditions typical of the region's Mediterranean climate, with light northerly winds and low humidity supporting moderate temperatures near seasonal averages of 28–30°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential from urban heat island effects or southerly flows, while recent observational data confirm no incoming heatwave or significant cloud cover to alter the trajectory. These factors position 27–28°C as the market's leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 84%, reflecting trader assessment of the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather predictions ahead of the daily maximum resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,939End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office, indicate a high of 27°C for Istanbul on August 22 under stable summer high-pressure conditions typical of the region's Mediterranean climate, with light northerly winds and low humidity supporting moderate temperatures near seasonal averages of 28–30°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential from urban heat island effects or southerly flows, while recent observational data confirm no incoming heatwave or significant cloud cover to alter the trajectory. These factors position 27–28°C as the market's leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 84%, reflecting trader assessment of the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather predictions ahead of the daily maximum resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,939End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office, indicate a high of 27°C for Istanbul on August 22 under stable summer high-pressure conditions typical of the region's Mediterranean climate, with light northerly winds and low humidity supporting moderate temperatures near seasonal averages of 28–30°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential from urban heat island effects or southerly flows, while recent observational data confirm no incoming heatwave or significant cloud cover to alter the trajectory. These factors position 27–28°C as the market's leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 84%, reflecting trader assessment of the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather predictions ahead of the daily maximum resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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