Deltan Dallagnol leads trader pricing for first place in Paraná's October 4, 2026, Senate contest at 42.5 percent amid a crowded field exceeding two dozen candidates. His national profile from Lava Jato, Novo nomination, and recent party alignments contribute to the edge, yet a pending Electoral Court eligibility challenge under Ficha Limpa rules after his prior mandate revocation injects uncertainty. Early August conventions confirmed contenders including Alexandre Curi (Republicanos) at 21.5 percent and Filipe Barros (PL) at 27.5 percent, while late-July and August polls reflect narrow, shifting leads driven by fragmented voter preferences across right-leaning and opposition blocs. This distribution captures crowd assessments of how rulings or late realignments could reorder outcomes in the two-seat race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDeltan Dallagnol 43%
Filipe Barros 28%
Alexandre Curi 22%
Cristina Reis Graeml 5%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Deltan Dallagnol
43%
Filipe Barros
28%
Alexandre Curi
22%
Cristina Reis Graeml
5%
Marcelo Marcelino
4%
Karen Guerreiro
3%
Joaquim do MLB
3%
Gleisi
3%
Dr. Rosinha
2%
Deltan Dallagnol 43%
Filipe Barros 28%
Alexandre Curi 22%
Cristina Reis Graeml 5%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Deltan Dallagnol
$966 Vol.
43%
Filipe Barros
$247 Vol.
28%
Alexandre Curi
$239 Vol.
22%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$64 Vol.
5%
Marcelo Marcelino
$128 Vol.
4%
Karen Guerreiro
$259 Vol.
3%
Joaquim do MLB
$149 Vol.
3%
Gleisi
$133 Vol.
3%
Dr. Rosinha
$118 Vol.
2%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Deltan Dallagnol leads trader pricing for first place in Paraná's October 4, 2026, Senate contest at 42.5 percent amid a crowded field exceeding two dozen candidates. His national profile from Lava Jato, Novo nomination, and recent party alignments contribute to the edge, yet a pending Electoral Court eligibility challenge under Ficha Limpa rules after his prior mandate revocation injects uncertainty. Early August conventions confirmed contenders including Alexandre Curi (Republicanos) at 21.5 percent and Filipe Barros (PL) at 27.5 percent, while late-July and August polls reflect narrow, shifting leads driven by fragmented voter preferences across right-leaning and opposition blocs. This distribution captures crowd assessments of how rulings or late realignments could reorder outcomes in the two-seat race.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Volume
$2,302End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Deltan Dallagnol leads trader pricing for first place in Paraná's October 4, 2026, Senate contest at 42.5 percent amid a crowded field exceeding two dozen candidates. His national profile from Lava Jato, Novo nomination, and recent party alignments contribute to the edge, yet a pending Electoral Court eligibility challenge under Ficha Limpa rules after his prior mandate revocation injects uncertainty. Early August conventions confirmed contenders including Alexandre Curi (Republicanos) at 21.5 percent and Filipe Barros (PL) at 27.5 percent, while late-July and August polls reflect narrow, shifting leads driven by fragmented voter preferences across right-leaning and opposition blocs. This distribution captures crowd assessments of how rulings or late realignments could reorder outcomes in the two-seat race.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$2,302End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Deltan Dallagnol leads trader pricing for first place in Paraná's October 4, 2026, Senate contest at 42.5 percent amid a crowded field exceeding two dozen candidates. His national profile from Lava Jato, Novo nomination, and recent party alignments contribute to the edge, yet a pending Electoral Court eligibility challenge under Ficha Limpa rules after his prior mandate revocation injects uncertainty. Early August conventions confirmed contenders including Alexandre Curi (Republicanos) at 21.5 percent and Filipe Barros (PL) at 27.5 percent, while late-July and August polls reflect narrow, shifting leads driven by fragmented voter preferences across right-leaning and opposition blocs. This distribution captures crowd assessments of how rulings or late realignments could reorder outcomes in the two-seat race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions