Flávio Bolsonaro holds the leading position in trader consensus for first place in Goiás during the October 4, 2026 first round, reflecting his national profile as the Liberal Party nominee backed by his father’s endorsement and broader right-wing momentum. Ronaldo Caiado, the former Goiás governor who resigned in March to run under the PSD banner, trails at lower odds but retains a regional base in his home state through agribusiness ties and center-right positioning as an alternative to polarized frontrunners. National polls show both trailing President Lula overall, with Caiado in single digits, though his local recognition and recent campaign launch in July sustain some state-level support. Other candidates register minimal implied probability, consistent with limited polling traction or regional appeal. Upcoming debates and state-specific surveys could shift these dynamics before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás
Flavio Bolsonaro 61%
Ronaldo Caiado 35%
Lula 2.8%
Clariana Barao <1%
$26,482 Vol.
$26,482 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
61%
Ronaldo Caiado
35%
Lula
3%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 61%
Ronaldo Caiado 35%
Lula 2.8%
Clariana Barao <1%
$26,482 Vol.
$26,482 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$12,297 Vol.
61%
Ronaldo Caiado
$5,676 Vol.
35%
Lula
$2,754 Vol.
3%
Clariana Barao
$469 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$458 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$494 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$519 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$1,480 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$570 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$385 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$398 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$537 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$444 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds the leading position in trader consensus for first place in Goiás during the October 4, 2026 first round, reflecting his national profile as the Liberal Party nominee backed by his father’s endorsement and broader right-wing momentum. Ronaldo Caiado, the former Goiás governor who resigned in March to run under the PSD banner, trails at lower odds but retains a regional base in his home state through agribusiness ties and center-right positioning as an alternative to polarized frontrunners. National polls show both trailing President Lula overall, with Caiado in single digits, though his local recognition and recent campaign launch in July sustain some state-level support. Other candidates register minimal implied probability, consistent with limited polling traction or regional appeal. Upcoming debates and state-specific surveys could shift these dynamics before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Volume
$26,482End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds the leading position in trader consensus for first place in Goiás during the October 4, 2026 first round, reflecting his national profile as the Liberal Party nominee backed by his father’s endorsement and broader right-wing momentum. Ronaldo Caiado, the former Goiás governor who resigned in March to run under the PSD banner, trails at lower odds but retains a regional base in his home state through agribusiness ties and center-right positioning as an alternative to polarized frontrunners. National polls show both trailing President Lula overall, with Caiado in single digits, though his local recognition and recent campaign launch in July sustain some state-level support. Other candidates register minimal implied probability, consistent with limited polling traction or regional appeal. Upcoming debates and state-specific surveys could shift these dynamics before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$26,482End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds the leading position in trader consensus for first place in Goiás during the October 4, 2026 first round, reflecting his national profile as the Liberal Party nominee backed by his father’s endorsement and broader right-wing momentum. Ronaldo Caiado, the former Goiás governor who resigned in March to run under the PSD banner, trails at lower odds but retains a regional base in his home state through agribusiness ties and center-right positioning as an alternative to polarized frontrunners. National polls show both trailing President Lula overall, with Caiado in single digits, though his local recognition and recent campaign launch in July sustain some state-level support. Other candidates register minimal implied probability, consistent with limited polling traction or regional appeal. Upcoming debates and state-specific surveys could shift these dynamics before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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