The tight contest for second place in Amapá's October 2026 Senate election reflects recent polling volatility and the dynamics of a two-seat race. Rayssa Furlan maintains a clear lead in July surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Real Time Big Data, leaving Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and incumbent Lucas Barreto (PSD) closely matched for the remaining vacancy, with Randolfe often edging ahead in second-preference mentions. Lucas Barreto's June confirmation of his re-election bid and Randolfe's recent formalization of his candidacy have sharpened party-based mobilization and regional alliances ahead of the registration deadline. Trader consensus around 47.5% for Randolfe versus lower shares for Barreto and others captures uncertainty over turnout, coalition shifts, and late campaign developments that could separate the contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAmapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Randolfe 48%
Lucas Barreto 20%
Capi 7.2%
Alliny Serrão 7%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Randolfe
48%
Lucas Barreto
20%
Capi
7%
Alliny Serrão
7%
Helio Silva
5%
Professor Uzian Pinto
5%
Acácio Favacho
5%
Juíza Jô
5%
Rayssa Furlan
3%
Randolfe 48%
Lucas Barreto 20%
Capi 7.2%
Alliny Serrão 7%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Randolfe
$2,789 Vol.
48%
Lucas Barreto
$228 Vol.
20%
Capi
$152 Vol.
7%
Alliny Serrão
$221 Vol.
7%
Helio Silva
$90 Vol.
5%
Professor Uzian Pinto
$361 Vol.
5%
Acácio Favacho
$90 Vol.
5%
Juíza Jô
$90 Vol.
5%
Rayssa Furlan
$90 Vol.
3%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Amapá's October 2026 Senate election reflects recent polling volatility and the dynamics of a two-seat race. Rayssa Furlan maintains a clear lead in July surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Real Time Big Data, leaving Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and incumbent Lucas Barreto (PSD) closely matched for the remaining vacancy, with Randolfe often edging ahead in second-preference mentions. Lucas Barreto's June confirmation of his re-election bid and Randolfe's recent formalization of his candidacy have sharpened party-based mobilization and regional alliances ahead of the registration deadline. Trader consensus around 47.5% for Randolfe versus lower shares for Barreto and others captures uncertainty over turnout, coalition shifts, and late campaign developments that could separate the contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Volume
$4,111End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Amapá's October 2026 Senate election reflects recent polling volatility and the dynamics of a two-seat race. Rayssa Furlan maintains a clear lead in July surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Real Time Big Data, leaving Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and incumbent Lucas Barreto (PSD) closely matched for the remaining vacancy, with Randolfe often edging ahead in second-preference mentions. Lucas Barreto's June confirmation of his re-election bid and Randolfe's recent formalization of his candidacy have sharpened party-based mobilization and regional alliances ahead of the registration deadline. Trader consensus around 47.5% for Randolfe versus lower shares for Barreto and others captures uncertainty over turnout, coalition shifts, and late campaign developments that could separate the contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$4,111End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest for second place in Amapá's October 2026 Senate election reflects recent polling volatility and the dynamics of a two-seat race. Rayssa Furlan maintains a clear lead in July surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Real Time Big Data, leaving Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and incumbent Lucas Barreto (PSD) closely matched for the remaining vacancy, with Randolfe often edging ahead in second-preference mentions. Lucas Barreto's June confirmation of his re-election bid and Randolfe's recent formalization of his candidacy have sharpened party-based mobilization and regional alliances ahead of the registration deadline. Trader consensus around 47.5% for Randolfe versus lower shares for Barreto and others captures uncertainty over turnout, coalition shifts, and late campaign developments that could separate the contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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