Renato Casagrande maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for first place in the Espírito Santo Senate race, reflecting consistent polling advantages of 24-32 points in July 2026 surveys from outlets such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data. His position stems from extensive statewide name recognition built during multiple terms as governor, prior Senate service, and established party networks ahead of the October 4 election for the state's two seats. Incumbent senators and other listed contenders trail substantially amid elevated undecided responses exceeding 70 percent in spontaneous polls. While the current consensus implies limited near-term volatility, developments such as late campaign momentum shifts, debate performances, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals could still alter relative standings before voting concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRenato Casagrande 96.6%
Marcos do Val 1.6%
Fabiano Contarato 1.3%
Rodney Miranda 1.2%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Casagrande
97%
Marcos do Val
2%
Fabiano Contarato
1%
Rodney Miranda
1%
Leonardo Monjardim
1%
Callegari
1%
Maguinha Malta
1%
Rose de Freitas
1%
Evair de Melo
1%
Sergio Meneguelli
1%
Professor Fabian
<1%
Renato Casagrande 96.6%
Marcos do Val 1.6%
Fabiano Contarato 1.3%
Rodney Miranda 1.2%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Casagrande
$5,334 Vol.
97%
Marcos do Val
$402 Vol.
2%
Fabiano Contarato
$398 Vol.
1%
Rodney Miranda
$378 Vol.
1%
Leonardo Monjardim
$360 Vol.
1%
Callegari
$367 Vol.
1%
Maguinha Malta
$397 Vol.
1%
Rose de Freitas
$359 Vol.
1%
Evair de Melo
$382 Vol.
1%
Sergio Meneguelli
$402 Vol.
1%
Professor Fabian
$299 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for first place in the Espírito Santo Senate race, reflecting consistent polling advantages of 24-32 points in July 2026 surveys from outlets such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data. His position stems from extensive statewide name recognition built during multiple terms as governor, prior Senate service, and established party networks ahead of the October 4 election for the state's two seats. Incumbent senators and other listed contenders trail substantially amid elevated undecided responses exceeding 70 percent in spontaneous polls. While the current consensus implies limited near-term volatility, developments such as late campaign momentum shifts, debate performances, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals could still alter relative standings before voting concludes.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Volume
$9,078End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for first place in the Espírito Santo Senate race, reflecting consistent polling advantages of 24-32 points in July 2026 surveys from outlets such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data. His position stems from extensive statewide name recognition built during multiple terms as governor, prior Senate service, and established party networks ahead of the October 4 election for the state's two seats. Incumbent senators and other listed contenders trail substantially amid elevated undecided responses exceeding 70 percent in spontaneous polls. While the current consensus implies limited near-term volatility, developments such as late campaign momentum shifts, debate performances, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals could still alter relative standings before voting concludes.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$9,078End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Renato Casagrande maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for first place in the Espírito Santo Senate race, reflecting consistent polling advantages of 24-32 points in July 2026 surveys from outlets such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data. His position stems from extensive statewide name recognition built during multiple terms as governor, prior Senate service, and established party networks ahead of the October 4 election for the state's two seats. Incumbent senators and other listed contenders trail substantially amid elevated undecided responses exceeding 70 percent in spontaneous polls. While the current consensus implies limited near-term volatility, developments such as late campaign momentum shifts, debate performances, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals could still alter relative standings before voting concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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