Recent forecast updates from agencies like the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid's August 24 high will moderate to 27–28°C under southwesterly breezes and partial cloud cover, following hotter conditions earlier in the month. This aligns with late-summer climatology for central Spain, where Atlantic influences and strengthening winds typically suppress peak readings below July–early August averages near 32°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, with minor differences in timing of any showers or wind gusts driving the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Traders have priced this cooling trend into the market, with implied probabilities reflecting the high likelihood of a maximum in that narrow band absent unexpected clear-sky intensification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
28°C 38%
27°C 32%
29°C 15%
26°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
32%
28°C
38%
29°C
15%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 38%
27°C 32%
29°C 15%
26°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$135 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$264 Vol.
1%
25°C
$248 Vol.
1%
26°C
$551 Vol.
6%
27°C
$569 Vol.
32%
28°C
$3,559 Vol.
38%
29°C
$758 Vol.
15%
30°C
$378 Vol.
4%
31°C
$13 Vol.
1%
32°C
$23 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$338 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies like the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid's August 24 high will moderate to 27–28°C under southwesterly breezes and partial cloud cover, following hotter conditions earlier in the month. This aligns with late-summer climatology for central Spain, where Atlantic influences and strengthening winds typically suppress peak readings below July–early August averages near 32°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, with minor differences in timing of any showers or wind gusts driving the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Traders have priced this cooling trend into the market, with implied probabilities reflecting the high likelihood of a maximum in that narrow band absent unexpected clear-sky intensification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,836End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies like the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid's August 24 high will moderate to 27–28°C under southwesterly breezes and partial cloud cover, following hotter conditions earlier in the month. This aligns with late-summer climatology for central Spain, where Atlantic influences and strengthening winds typically suppress peak readings below July–early August averages near 32°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, with minor differences in timing of any showers or wind gusts driving the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Traders have priced this cooling trend into the market, with implied probabilities reflecting the high likelihood of a maximum in that narrow band absent unexpected clear-sky intensification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,836End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from agencies like the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid's August 24 high will moderate to 27–28°C under southwesterly breezes and partial cloud cover, following hotter conditions earlier in the month. This aligns with late-summer climatology for central Spain, where Atlantic influences and strengthening winds typically suppress peak readings below July–early August averages near 32°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, with minor differences in timing of any showers or wind gusts driving the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Traders have priced this cooling trend into the market, with implied probabilities reflecting the high likelihood of a maximum in that narrow band absent unexpected clear-sky intensification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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