The Espírito Santo Senate race features a dominant frontrunner in former governor Renato Casagrande alongside a highly fragmented contest for second place. Multiple candidates—including Rose de Freitas, Sérgio Meneguelli, Maguinha Malta, Fabiano Contarato, and Marcos do Val—register single-digit to low-teen support in July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, with no clear consolidator emerging. Recent developments such as Casagrande’s April resignation to run, the re-election bids of incumbents, and Maguinha Malta’s PL backing have kept the field open. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing several names near the top while awaiting further polling shifts, party conventions, or late alliances that could consolidate second-place votes before the October election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarcos do Val 18%
Rose de Freitas 16%
Sergio Meneguelli 15%
Maguinha Malta 14%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Marcos do Val
18%
Rose de Freitas
16%
Sergio Meneguelli
15%
Maguinha Malta
14%
Fabiano Contarato
13%
Rodney Miranda
6%
Professor Fabian
6%
Callegari
5%
Evair de Melo
5%
Leonardo Monjardim
5%
Renato Casagrande
1%
Marcos do Val 18%
Rose de Freitas 16%
Sergio Meneguelli 15%
Maguinha Malta 14%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Marcos do Val
$46 Vol.
18%
Rose de Freitas
$50 Vol.
16%
Sergio Meneguelli
$30 Vol.
15%
Maguinha Malta
$30 Vol.
14%
Fabiano Contarato
$44 Vol.
13%
Rodney Miranda
$30 Vol.
6%
Professor Fabian
$30 Vol.
6%
Callegari
$215 Vol.
5%
Evair de Melo
$151 Vol.
5%
Leonardo Monjardim
$95 Vol.
5%
Renato Casagrande
$71 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race features a dominant frontrunner in former governor Renato Casagrande alongside a highly fragmented contest for second place. Multiple candidates—including Rose de Freitas, Sérgio Meneguelli, Maguinha Malta, Fabiano Contarato, and Marcos do Val—register single-digit to low-teen support in July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, with no clear consolidator emerging. Recent developments such as Casagrande’s April resignation to run, the re-election bids of incumbents, and Maguinha Malta’s PL backing have kept the field open. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing several names near the top while awaiting further polling shifts, party conventions, or late alliances that could consolidate second-place votes before the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Volume
$791End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race features a dominant frontrunner in former governor Renato Casagrande alongside a highly fragmented contest for second place. Multiple candidates—including Rose de Freitas, Sérgio Meneguelli, Maguinha Malta, Fabiano Contarato, and Marcos do Val—register single-digit to low-teen support in July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, with no clear consolidator emerging. Recent developments such as Casagrande’s April resignation to run, the re-election bids of incumbents, and Maguinha Malta’s PL backing have kept the field open. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing several names near the top while awaiting further polling shifts, party conventions, or late alliances that could consolidate second-place votes before the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$791End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo Senate race features a dominant frontrunner in former governor Renato Casagrande alongside a highly fragmented contest for second place. Multiple candidates—including Rose de Freitas, Sérgio Meneguelli, Maguinha Malta, Fabiano Contarato, and Marcos do Val—register single-digit to low-teen support in July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, with no clear consolidator emerging. Recent developments such as Casagrande’s April resignation to run, the re-election bids of incumbents, and Maguinha Malta’s PL backing have kept the field open. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing several names near the top while awaiting further polling shifts, party conventions, or late alliances that could consolidate second-place votes before the October election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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