Recent polling from late August shows a fragmented field for Sergipe's two Senate seats, with Rogério Carvalho, Delegado André David, André Moura, and Delegado Alessandro clustered in single digits amid over 20% undecided voters and high blank/null rates. This uncertainty sustains even trader pricing on many individual second-place outcomes while concentrating implied probability on the top four. Alliances, including PT-União Brasil coordination and Republicanos positioning, along with candidates' established state profiles and municipalist appeals, keep the contest competitive. Further surveys or coalition clarifications before October could shift second-place positioning among these contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRogerio Carvalho 28%
André Moura 21%
Delegado André David 16.8%
Delegado Alessandro 14.9%
$22,327 Vol.
$22,327 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rogerio Carvalho
28%
André Moura
21%
Delegado André David
17%
Delegado Alessandro
15%
Eduardo Amorim
13%
Rodrigo Valadares
7%
Renatinha
1%
Edvaldo
<1%
Coronel Rocha
<1%
Paulinho da União Tur
<1%
Iran Barbosa
<1%
Rogerio Carvalho 28%
André Moura 21%
Delegado André David 16.8%
Delegado Alessandro 14.9%
$22,327 Vol.
$22,327 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rogerio Carvalho
$5,779 Vol.
28%
André Moura
$3,259 Vol.
21%
Delegado André David
$2,342 Vol.
17%
Delegado Alessandro
$1,819 Vol.
15%
Eduardo Amorim
$2,539 Vol.
13%
Rodrigo Valadares
$1,456 Vol.
7%
Renatinha
$1,338 Vol.
1%
Edvaldo
$647 Vol.
<1%
Coronel Rocha
$776 Vol.
<1%
Paulinho da União Tur
$992 Vol.
<1%
Iran Barbosa
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows a fragmented field for Sergipe's two Senate seats, with Rogério Carvalho, Delegado André David, André Moura, and Delegado Alessandro clustered in single digits amid over 20% undecided voters and high blank/null rates. This uncertainty sustains even trader pricing on many individual second-place outcomes while concentrating implied probability on the top four. Alliances, including PT-União Brasil coordination and Republicanos positioning, along with candidates' established state profiles and municipalist appeals, keep the contest competitive. Further surveys or coalition clarifications before October could shift second-place positioning among these contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Volume
$22,327End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows a fragmented field for Sergipe's two Senate seats, with Rogério Carvalho, Delegado André David, André Moura, and Delegado Alessandro clustered in single digits amid over 20% undecided voters and high blank/null rates. This uncertainty sustains even trader pricing on many individual second-place outcomes while concentrating implied probability on the top four. Alliances, including PT-União Brasil coordination and Republicanos positioning, along with candidates' established state profiles and municipalist appeals, keep the contest competitive. Further surveys or coalition clarifications before October could shift second-place positioning among these contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$22,327End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August shows a fragmented field for Sergipe's two Senate seats, with Rogério Carvalho, Delegado André David, André Moura, and Delegado Alessandro clustered in single digits amid over 20% undecided voters and high blank/null rates. This uncertainty sustains even trader pricing on many individual second-place outcomes while concentrating implied probability on the top four. Alliances, including PT-União Brasil coordination and Republicanos positioning, along with candidates' established state profiles and municipalist appeals, keep the contest competitive. Further surveys or coalition clarifications before October could shift second-place positioning among these contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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