Recent Quaest polling from late August shows a fragmented field for Sergipe's two Senate seats, with Delegado André David and Rogério Carvalho tied at 11% in consolidated estimates, followed closely by André Moura at 9% and Delegado Alessandro at 8%, amid 22% undecided and 13% blank or null responses. High spontaneous indecision above 79% and voters selecting two names per ballot sustain tight positioning across multiple contenders from Republicanos, PT, União Brasil, MDB, PL, and PDT. Alliances tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race and candidate formalizations in early August have shaped early name recognition without producing separation. Further polling shifts, campaign consolidation, or turnout patterns among key blocs could alter first-place probabilities before the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDelegado André David 30%
Rogerio Carvalho 29.2%
André Moura 26.7%
Rodrigo Valadares 5.8%
$17,088 Vol.
$17,088 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado André David
30%
Rogerio Carvalho
15%
André Moura
27%
Rodrigo Valadares
6%
Iran Barbosa
3%
Eduardo Amorim
3%
Delegado Alessandro
<1%
Edvaldo
<1%
Paulinho da União Tur
<1%
Coronel Rocha
<1%
Renatinha
<1%
Delegado André David 30%
Rogerio Carvalho 29.2%
André Moura 26.7%
Rodrigo Valadares 5.8%
$17,088 Vol.
$17,088 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado André David
$10,095 Vol.
30%
Rogerio Carvalho
$459 Vol.
15%
André Moura
$4,053 Vol.
27%
Rodrigo Valadares
$357 Vol.
6%
Iran Barbosa
$305 Vol.
3%
Eduardo Amorim
$533 Vol.
3%
Delegado Alessandro
$270 Vol.
<1%
Edvaldo
$270 Vol.
<1%
Paulinho da União Tur
$180 Vol.
<1%
Coronel Rocha
$270 Vol.
<1%
Renatinha
$297 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling from late August shows a fragmented field for Sergipe's two Senate seats, with Delegado André David and Rogério Carvalho tied at 11% in consolidated estimates, followed closely by André Moura at 9% and Delegado Alessandro at 8%, amid 22% undecided and 13% blank or null responses. High spontaneous indecision above 79% and voters selecting two names per ballot sustain tight positioning across multiple contenders from Republicanos, PT, União Brasil, MDB, PL, and PDT. Alliances tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race and candidate formalizations in early August have shaped early name recognition without producing separation. Further polling shifts, campaign consolidation, or turnout patterns among key blocs could alter first-place probabilities before the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volume
$17,088End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling from late August shows a fragmented field for Sergipe's two Senate seats, with Delegado André David and Rogério Carvalho tied at 11% in consolidated estimates, followed closely by André Moura at 9% and Delegado Alessandro at 8%, amid 22% undecided and 13% blank or null responses. High spontaneous indecision above 79% and voters selecting two names per ballot sustain tight positioning across multiple contenders from Republicanos, PT, União Brasil, MDB, PL, and PDT. Alliances tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race and candidate formalizations in early August have shaped early name recognition without producing separation. Further polling shifts, campaign consolidation, or turnout patterns among key blocs could alter first-place probabilities before the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,088End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling from late August shows a fragmented field for Sergipe's two Senate seats, with Delegado André David and Rogério Carvalho tied at 11% in consolidated estimates, followed closely by André Moura at 9% and Delegado Alessandro at 8%, amid 22% undecided and 13% blank or null responses. High spontaneous indecision above 79% and voters selecting two names per ballot sustain tight positioning across multiple contenders from Republicanos, PT, União Brasil, MDB, PL, and PDT. Alliances tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race and candidate formalizations in early August have shaped early name recognition without producing separation. Further polling shifts, campaign consolidation, or turnout patterns among key blocs could alter first-place probabilities before the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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