**Renan Calheiros holds the market lead for first place in the Alagoas Senate race amid a competitive contest for the state's two seats.** Recent polling, including the August Quaest survey, shows technical ties among Calheiros, Arthur Lira, and Marina JHC in combined first- and second-choice intentions, with each in the mid-teens to low twenties and high shares of undecided or blank responses. Longstanding rivalry between the Calheiros political group and Lira's allies, alongside Marina JHC's late entry as a PSDB candidate, has kept preferences fragmented. Elevated undecided levels and limited spontaneous name recognition sustain the close positioning, while upcoming campaign events, alliance shifts, and voter consolidation in the final weeks before the October 4 vote could alter relative standings among the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRenan 54%
Arthur Lira 29%
Marina JHC 17.5%
Dr. Wanderley 2.8%
$12,353 Vol.
$12,353 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Renan
54%
Arthur Lira
29%
Marina JHC
18%
Dr. Wanderley
3%
Alexandre Fleming
3%
Mariedson
<1%
Davi Davino Filho
<1%
Renan 54%
Arthur Lira 29%
Marina JHC 17.5%
Dr. Wanderley 2.8%
$12,353 Vol.
$12,353 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Renan
$5,384 Vol.
54%
Arthur Lira
$5,076 Vol.
29%
Marina JHC
$506 Vol.
18%
Dr. Wanderley
$419 Vol.
3%
Alexandre Fleming
$348 Vol.
3%
Mariedson
$358 Vol.
<1%
Davi Davino Filho
$263 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Renan Calheiros holds the market lead for first place in the Alagoas Senate race amid a competitive contest for the state's two seats.** Recent polling, including the August Quaest survey, shows technical ties among Calheiros, Arthur Lira, and Marina JHC in combined first- and second-choice intentions, with each in the mid-teens to low twenties and high shares of undecided or blank responses. Longstanding rivalry between the Calheiros political group and Lira's allies, alongside Marina JHC's late entry as a PSDB candidate, has kept preferences fragmented. Elevated undecided levels and limited spontaneous name recognition sustain the close positioning, while upcoming campaign events, alliance shifts, and voter consolidation in the final weeks before the October 4 vote could alter relative standings among the field.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
Volume
$12,353End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Renan Calheiros holds the market lead for first place in the Alagoas Senate race amid a competitive contest for the state's two seats.** Recent polling, including the August Quaest survey, shows technical ties among Calheiros, Arthur Lira, and Marina JHC in combined first- and second-choice intentions, with each in the mid-teens to low twenties and high shares of undecided or blank responses. Longstanding rivalry between the Calheiros political group and Lira's allies, alongside Marina JHC's late entry as a PSDB candidate, has kept preferences fragmented. Elevated undecided levels and limited spontaneous name recognition sustain the close positioning, while upcoming campaign events, alliance shifts, and voter consolidation in the final weeks before the October 4 vote could alter relative standings among the field.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$12,353End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Renan Calheiros holds the market lead for first place in the Alagoas Senate race amid a competitive contest for the state's two seats.** Recent polling, including the August Quaest survey, shows technical ties among Calheiros, Arthur Lira, and Marina JHC in combined first- and second-choice intentions, with each in the mid-teens to low twenties and high shares of undecided or blank responses. Longstanding rivalry between the Calheiros political group and Lira's allies, alongside Marina JHC's late entry as a PSDB candidate, has kept preferences fragmented. Elevated undecided levels and limited spontaneous name recognition sustain the close positioning, while upcoming campaign events, alliance shifts, and voter consolidation in the final weeks before the October 4 vote could alter relative standings among the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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