Recent polling from institutes such as Quaest shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats on October 4, with Gladson Camelí, Márcio Bittar, Mara Rocha, and Jorge Viana trading narrow leads or technical ties amid 17% undecided voters. Camelí’s resignation as governor to run and associated legal proceedings have added uncertainty, while established incumbents like Bittar (PL) and Rocha (Republicanos) benefit from name recognition and party structures. Voter choices for two distinct candidates, combined with shifting coalition dynamics and regional patterns, sustain tight implied probabilities for second place between Bittar and Rocha. Further separation could emerge from late campaign events, turnout among key blocs, or clearer polling trends as the official period advances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarcio Bittar 34.2%
Mara Rocha 34%
Jorge Viana 16.1%
Gladson Camelí 9%
$29,191 Vol.
$29,191 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
34%
Mara Rocha
34%
Jorge Viana
19%
Gladson Camelí
9%
Petecão
6%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
<1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
<1%
Marcio Bittar 34.2%
Mara Rocha 34%
Jorge Viana 16.1%
Gladson Camelí 9%
$29,191 Vol.
$29,191 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
$4,081 Vol.
34%
Mara Rocha
$11,807 Vol.
34%
Jorge Viana
$707 Vol.
19%
Gladson Camelí
$9,673 Vol.
9%
Petecão
$1,493 Vol.
6%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
$539 Vol.
<1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
$431 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
$459 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes such as Quaest shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats on October 4, with Gladson Camelí, Márcio Bittar, Mara Rocha, and Jorge Viana trading narrow leads or technical ties amid 17% undecided voters. Camelí’s resignation as governor to run and associated legal proceedings have added uncertainty, while established incumbents like Bittar (PL) and Rocha (Republicanos) benefit from name recognition and party structures. Voter choices for two distinct candidates, combined with shifting coalition dynamics and regional patterns, sustain tight implied probabilities for second place between Bittar and Rocha. Further separation could emerge from late campaign events, turnout among key blocs, or clearer polling trends as the official period advances.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET
Volume
$29,191End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes such as Quaest shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats on October 4, with Gladson Camelí, Márcio Bittar, Mara Rocha, and Jorge Viana trading narrow leads or technical ties amid 17% undecided voters. Camelí’s resignation as governor to run and associated legal proceedings have added uncertainty, while established incumbents like Bittar (PL) and Rocha (Republicanos) benefit from name recognition and party structures. Voter choices for two distinct candidates, combined with shifting coalition dynamics and regional patterns, sustain tight implied probabilities for second place between Bittar and Rocha. Further separation could emerge from late campaign events, turnout among key blocs, or clearer polling trends as the official period advances.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$29,191End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes such as Quaest shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats on October 4, with Gladson Camelí, Márcio Bittar, Mara Rocha, and Jorge Viana trading narrow leads or technical ties amid 17% undecided voters. Camelí’s resignation as governor to run and associated legal proceedings have added uncertainty, while established incumbents like Bittar (PL) and Rocha (Republicanos) benefit from name recognition and party structures. Voter choices for two distinct candidates, combined with shifting coalition dynamics and regional patterns, sustain tight implied probabilities for second place between Bittar and Rocha. Further separation could emerge from late campaign events, turnout among key blocs, or clearer polling trends as the official period advances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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