Recent polling from late August shows a tight contest for Roraima’s second Senate seat, with Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% in combined estimates, while Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) trails further at 5%. High undecided rates—67% in spontaneous responses—and voters selecting two names keep the field fragmented. The presence of multiple PL candidates risks vote splitting among right-leaning voters, and the October 4 election remains weeks away with substantial room for shifts from campaign events or turnout patterns among key regional blocs. Trader pricing reflects this narrow separation among the leading contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTeresa Surita 28%
Nicoletti 15.0%
Helena da Asatur 14.1%
Helio Bolsonaro 5.8%
$41,386 Vol.
$41,386 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
28%
Nicoletti
21%
Helena da Asatur
14%
Helio Bolsonaro
6%
Chico Rodrigues
4%
Pastor Isamar
1%
Mario Rocha
1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Teresa Surita 28%
Nicoletti 15.0%
Helena da Asatur 14.1%
Helio Bolsonaro 5.8%
$41,386 Vol.
$41,386 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
$13,130 Vol.
28%
Nicoletti
$5,502 Vol.
21%
Helena da Asatur
$1,505 Vol.
14%
Helio Bolsonaro
$6,738 Vol.
6%
Chico Rodrigues
$10,193 Vol.
4%
Pastor Isamar
$725 Vol.
1%
Mario Rocha
$483 Vol.
1%
Bartô Macuxi
$503 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$598 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$507 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$491 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$505 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$505 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows a tight contest for Roraima’s second Senate seat, with Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% in combined estimates, while Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) trails further at 5%. High undecided rates—67% in spontaneous responses—and voters selecting two names keep the field fragmented. The presence of multiple PL candidates risks vote splitting among right-leaning voters, and the October 4 election remains weeks away with substantial room for shifts from campaign events or turnout patterns among key regional blocs. Trader pricing reflects this narrow separation among the leading contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$41,386End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows a tight contest for Roraima’s second Senate seat, with Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% in combined estimates, while Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) trails further at 5%. High undecided rates—67% in spontaneous responses—and voters selecting two names keep the field fragmented. The presence of multiple PL candidates risks vote splitting among right-leaning voters, and the October 4 election remains weeks away with substantial room for shifts from campaign events or turnout patterns among key regional blocs. Trader pricing reflects this narrow separation among the leading contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$41,386End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August shows a tight contest for Roraima’s second Senate seat, with Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% in combined estimates, while Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) trails further at 5%. High undecided rates—67% in spontaneous responses—and voters selecting two names keep the field fragmented. The presence of multiple PL candidates risks vote splitting among right-leaning voters, and the October 4 election remains weeks away with substantial room for shifts from campaign events or turnout patterns among key regional blocs. Trader pricing reflects this narrow separation among the leading contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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